Let me guess, it’s going to pound Washington to Maine, in his opinion!?
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
iGRXY
Member
That's only out to 7am friday. This is only for the initial front that is coming through. Not the actual storm system itself.
You do realize that was only unto 7am Friday morning?
SnowNiner
Member
Haha, nope. I'm wrong, sorry about that.
iGRXY
Member
SW is slower but the N/S is stronger and a little further south. Temps look like they're going to be better atleast.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Little more stream separation this run
iGRXY
Member
Cary_Snow95
Member
griteater
Member
Out to 54, the NAM still has a touch more suppressive look to it, but not by much.
Still like where this is going 
I'm curious to where the future mesoscale models go. From a lot of experience I do feel the nw shield we be heavier and more expansive. I've seen it almost every time. But I also feel that's wishcasting since that benefits mby. If I was forecasting this thing from sunny Florida without a dog in the fight I'd like where the upstate sits right now. I feel 1-2, maybe 3 east toward Spartanburg and Cherokee County is reasonable. Maybe my thinking changes when short range comes into view.
Cary_Snow95
Member
850s are a touch colder so far out to 51
iGRXY
Member
850's continue to improve.
Going for the phase 
Cary_Snow95
Member
Kind of odd. Precip on the initial front is drying up on the NAM
It seems every time there is that much ZR predicted it's usually wrong. Unless there is something I'm missing I don't see how this map verifies.
Edit: After looking at the new 18z NAM they may have to upgrade both snow and ice areas if the trend continues.
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Cary_Snow95
Member
In my opinion that it seems like a small step back from a phase compared to 12z. NS is just a touch further out ahead and its trying to get that elongated look just a little
Cary_Snow95
Member
Precip doesn’t make further west at 69, doesn’t look as good as 12z