BHS1975
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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter Shawn
- Start date
man that's sick, first time i've seen that reanalysis. my dad was in grad school at syracuse at the time and was driving back to wilmington for spring break- had a terrible car and by the time he hit SE NC the snow was deep enough to get stuck. he had car of marines from legeune behind him and whenever he'd get stuck they'd have to come out to help him push. wilmington has had a bunch of 2-4 inch events but man it would be sick for that area to get another big one soon.
I didn't know that event started was two pronged. according to my mom, it stormed about 12 hours before the snow started so that makes sense. it also looks like that first event pushed a nice baroclinic zone off the coast because the second wave sure looked like the instant occlusion chart i showed earlier.
One point, looks like the thickness line on the gif may be a little out of sync, otherwise it looks perfect. gives me creedence to say some place will probably not be receiving 30 inches.
LovingGulfLows
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One thing I noticed on the GFS is how much more the moisture from the gulf energy is streaming northward compared to before. At hour 78, the heavier precip is very deep into GA compared to the previous run. It won't take much more of a shift to get that into N GA where temps might be cold enough for snow.
griteater
Member
Winds gusted to 65mph at Cape Hatteras in the Mar 1980 storm
Here is the 12z run of the NASA GEOS - https://fluid.nccs.nasa.gov/weather/
Here is the 12z run of the NASA GEOS - https://fluid.nccs.nasa.gov/weather/
iGRXY
Member
Still think the western Carolinas and maybe NE GA can continue trending more favorably. Just don’t see this going much better for anyone west of there.
Jessy89
Member
I’m hoping for at least a 1-2 inch type event for upstate and NE Ga. but I don’t see it as of now. This has eastern Carolinas written all over it.
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griteater
Member
18z Euro didn't improve on the front side...still has some snow on the backside
Still Not bad ! 
Euro actually looks decent in the NC Piedmont, driven from the northern stream 
lexxnchloe
Member
Could be at least some snow for all of NC
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Dang, look at that deform band back in WNC18z Euro didn't improve on the front side...still has some snow on the backside
lexxnchloe
Member
I was thinking that is worse for NE NC but it cuts off at 90 hours. They could really cash in.
BHS1975
Member
NAM looking good.
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The overall system had a higher height field but it was further SW, if the euro had a deeper/sharper trough base and overall longwave axis, probably would have been way better
Lord have mercy, half of the SREF is losing its mind in NC
That SREF NMB was only 5mb off from being January 2000.
Was probably going to be over a foot.
10” across a lot of the triangle by 87.
10” across a lot of the triangle by 87.