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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter Shawn
- Start date
NAM looks faster with the SS energy…
iGRXY
Member
NAM is definitely pushing the SW further east this run. Could be a decent run here shortly
The fact that it already had a good look .. could only mean 1 thing for this run
The NAM is apart of the sref family so if they were showing a big hit I assume it would follow
This nam run is about to do some loco stuff it looks better at H5 then the last couple of runs
iGRXY
Member
Energy is consolidating a lot better this run and probably going to lead to a decent ULL thump
Come on Kylo, you can’t bash members of your own family, right?
Plus, who the heck knows. This could dry up over the next 2 days or zero in on somewhere else. Should be another chance for Columbia to get some snow
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Coastal low is forming much closer to the FL coast this run. Don't know if that will make a difference.
iGRXY
Member
Nam really elongated that low E of Florida vs consolidating it way east like 18z
Eyeballing H5 I think this run splits the difference between 12 and 18z.
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Definately more interaction with the surface low this time.
Correct me if I’m wrong, but isn’t this the first model to run with pieces of energy sampled over land?
The surface differences between 18z and 00z at hr 45 Is pretty stupid lol
iGRXY
Member
A lot more precip breaking out this run
wow
Member
This is gonna be it
Just like last weds night, when we started the big shifts back to a hit.
I was about to post same gif, just minor adjustments pfft
wow
Member
500mb ht crashes further west
Yeah as it turns out when the cyclogenesis ramps up along the climatologically favored Gulf Stream instead of ramping up along the complex of thunderstorms that may or may not exist in the Bermuda Triangle, the difference in moisture transport is palpable
For coastal areas, this is pretty ideal, SLP pulled back as the mid level turns right, this should be a good run.
Close your eyes and pretend the rest of this run doesn't happen probably going to be huge. Phaser is coming down through wisky and the base of the trough is fairly loaded
51 boom
With the draped front it’s an enhanced baroclinic zone, bonus points for natural climo favored.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
?
HaHa, NAM you sneaky little devil you
Hammertime
Totals are probably gonna look similar to that SREF run
At 54 ripping fatties throughout the Carolinas my god
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
That dry slot is brutal on the NAM for the foothills
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Jon
Member
Best case scenario for Central NC. Tons of QPF at 54hr 995mb off ilm
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
What is going on. Nam must be on crack
iGRXY
Member
What’s funny is the NAM is probably under selling how fast the column would crash again too lolol
I'll ban myself from the thread but so worth it
Down East getting crushed
Jessy89
Member
That latest nam run gives about everyone in both Carolinas some snow. Just more the further east you go.
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Hypsometric
Member
