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Wintry ❄The Christmas Miracle❄(12-24/12-25)
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Don’t think the 18z nam will changeover quick enough
Pivotal Weather shows 3.5 inches in small bands thru NW/West GA.... not sure what crack it's on but I will not get my hopes up unrealistically
bingcrosbyb
Member
15z SREF 12/22 run shows a mean of 0.93" of snow for BHM. It has a quick window between 6pm and 11pm on Christmas eve for snow changeover.
Jrips2710
Member
LOL that streak in Georgia goes right over my house. Check please!
In all likelihood I think we will see a pretty good amount of snow showers on Christmas Eve Night. Which sounds pretty cool to me! Hope it happens.
Parker
Member
7 of those members over 2, what in the world?!
PARSONBROWN
Member
How Huntsville?
Parker
Member
HSV has a mean of .8
I wish I hadn’t seen the SREF . Only disappointment from here on in .......
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Parker
Member
Here is the SREF Bing referenced for BHM. Wowzers
There’s just no way we sneak a snow shower into SC. The mountains won’t allow it. Maybe I’ll get drizzle ??
Parker
Member
What is so crazy is the mean has increased each and every run and not decreased. .27 at 03z, .37 at 09z, now .93 at 15z.
SREF for Atlanta and Rome. If you're between the two you can see the mean basically goes from 1" to 2".
ATL
Rome
ATL
Rome
Montanasnow30
Member
What does it show for Tuscaloosa
Parker
Member
.33 mean
Montanasnow30
Member
At least that’s better than nothing lol
HSVweather
Member
HSV AFD
“
It's at this point in the forecast that things get interesting. As
with any case of potential winter weather across the Southeast, you
normally have the available moisture, or the unseasonably cold air,
but rarely both at the same time to provide the much-requested
winter wonderland for Christmas Eve. This case is no different, and
despite the ensembles highlighting inches and inches of snow
occurring in the wake of the cold front, sounding analysis just
doesn't support it. The greatest lift arrives as much of the best
moisture has already vacated the area to the E, which lowers the
snowfall amounts significantly in an event like this.
Here's what I think will truly happen (which is hard to depict the
fine-resolution of such thinking in a gridded forecast): The bulk of
the rain will push E just as the coldest air arrives into the area
from the NW. Maybe one "heavier" snow band will set up and ride
along with what's left of the greatest lift in the wake of the front,
and then we'll get a dusting or less from that burst of snow. A bit
of a break is expected for a few hours that morning, and then as
another piece of energy rotates through the base of the trof aloft
across the OH and northern TN Valley, we'll see some snow showers
across N AL/Southern Middle TN. This won't be enough to cause much
in the way of additional accumulations, but for those of you (like
me) who just like to see the snow fall from the sky, then this
forecast is for you! Models hint at maybe a little more accumulation
than a dusting in the higher terrain of NE Alabama and Southern
Middle TN, but overall snowfall totals range from a few tenths in NW
AL to perhaps 0.5-0.7" in higher terrain locations. There is still a
little uncertainty with this event, despite being 24-36 hours out.
Stay tuned as additional forecast updates are expected.”
“
It's at this point in the forecast that things get interesting. As
with any case of potential winter weather across the Southeast, you
normally have the available moisture, or the unseasonably cold air,
but rarely both at the same time to provide the much-requested
winter wonderland for Christmas Eve. This case is no different, and
despite the ensembles highlighting inches and inches of snow
occurring in the wake of the cold front, sounding analysis just
doesn't support it. The greatest lift arrives as much of the best
moisture has already vacated the area to the E, which lowers the
snowfall amounts significantly in an event like this.
Here's what I think will truly happen (which is hard to depict the
fine-resolution of such thinking in a gridded forecast): The bulk of
the rain will push E just as the coldest air arrives into the area
from the NW. Maybe one "heavier" snow band will set up and ride
along with what's left of the greatest lift in the wake of the front,
and then we'll get a dusting or less from that burst of snow. A bit
of a break is expected for a few hours that morning, and then as
another piece of energy rotates through the base of the trof aloft
across the OH and northern TN Valley, we'll see some snow showers
across N AL/Southern Middle TN. This won't be enough to cause much
in the way of additional accumulations, but for those of you (like
me) who just like to see the snow fall from the sky, then this
forecast is for you! Models hint at maybe a little more accumulation
than a dusting in the higher terrain of NE Alabama and Southern
Middle TN, but overall snowfall totals range from a few tenths in NW
AL to perhaps 0.5-0.7" in higher terrain locations. There is still a
little uncertainty with this event, despite being 24-36 hours out.
Stay tuned as additional forecast updates are expected.”
? 
FamouslyHot
Member
I can’t keep getting sucked in like this
This is way over amped
