Dewpoint Dan
Member
If the GEFS model was even remotely possible dont you think the NWS would be talking about it ?
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Wintry ❄The Christmas Miracle❄(12-24/12-25)
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
The stripes of “snow” oriented SW/NE make it pretty clear the flaws in these CoD ensemble member maps, using the P-type at the end of every 6 hr segment to define the P-type for the entire 6 hr segment. In this setup with temperatures crashing after the cold front as precip ends, these maps are useless, as a result. There’s nothing wrong with the GEFS itself. Most of these GEFS ensemble members are showing little, if any, snow.
Chattownsnow
Member
I mean that is worse than 12z.
I mean hey if all this wonky SREFS and GEFS stuff comes to fruition then a lot of people will owe a lot of apologies to the models for slandering them for weeks on end ... if it does not come to fruition ... go to ------- hell GEFS/SREFS ??
Even this is out to lunch imo, GEFS is likely to bullish with this setup, I don’t even know why it’s still being posted for the anafront itself on COD, the meso models don’t even show that much like GEFS on COD does, imo I’d be more excited over the clipper, those COD maps should be getting deleted as there basically misinformation
There’s gonna be snowflakes for several people, that’s enough as it is
There’s gonna be snowflakes for several people, that’s enough as it is
Haven't hired independent fact checkers yet
24 and 48 hour trends on GEFS Plumes for KHSV are just great, mean at 1.23" and most members involved. Trends are your friend.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
MotoWeatherman
Meteorologist
I wish people would stop posting COD GEFS maps as they are complete garbage
PARSONBROWN
Member
Yep. Zero possibility. Flakes and flizzard
MotoWeatherman
Meteorologist
Here is the 18z GEFs that's way more accurate. It's actually been decreasing snow in Alabama and GA 
COD maps work in other situations but have been known to stink with analfronts, honestly they should be deleted on spot here, because there is some folks that just lurk and might take it 100% serious
The GEFS isn't our friend? I mean sure, no model is really. But trends are.
Threads don't get locked just because one player's backyard isn't involved. This storm could bring some light accumulation and could affect a large swath of the SE.
Yeah I wasn’t being literal. Or was I? ?
I understand the excitement of the possibility of flurries and snow showers on Christmas in the SE but don't get fooled by these "trends" (few models support accumulating snowfall). And these snowfall maps. Yes, some of us will see some flurries but this WILL NOT be a big deal. They will be novelty flakes for most of us. I am more interested in the upcoming pattern than I am about Christmas, TBH. Again, the cold on Christmas Day will be a much bigger story than snow. Unless you're in Buffalo or the mountains of E. TN or NC, that is. I know, I am being a 'Debbie Downer' but let's really try and be realistic about this.
?Yeah I wasn’t being literal. Or was I? ?
Which do y’all think is better weatherbell or weathermodels? Even they seem worlds apart.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
No one said it was a big deal. If we can get a dusting or even an 1” like the NWS said we could in my area I’ll be like a kid on Christmas (eve)
The one with less (I’m being serious)