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Wintry ❄The Christmas Miracle❄(12-24/12-25)

WSB in house radar says nada. Of course it may be bunk. Hard to believe with how quick it’s moving for there to be changeover unless we see substantive redevelopment over the west and some reports that we actually have some pingers.


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Newest HRRR shows more redevelopment of the band in about 3 or 4 hours. Even has some mod-heavy snow in the northern portions of the metro and a mix farther south around 5. We'll see though. Still somewhat skeptical.

HRRRSE_prec_ptype_007.png
 
NWS RAH doesn't seem too excited around here. WRAL hasn't mentioned snow shower potential for tomorrow either.

From NWS RAH...
"Highs will occur in the morning (with steady of slowly falling
temperatures, even with skies becoming mostly sunny in the
afternoon. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. Clear and very cold
Friday night, lows 15-20 NW-N and 20-25 SE."
 
After some calm winds, fog, and rain this morning the winds have finally picked up out of the southwest and the temperature just crept up to 53F. The cold boundary is finally approaching from the west.

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Brad P isn't floating the idea around about the possibility of at least some flurries tomorrow. Instead, he's telling us how to make our own snow in our backyard. Huh?
I hope Charlotte sees 4 inches just so I can see what he says about that ??
 
I dont know how It effects the grand scheme of things but everything looks to be moving through much faster than forecasted... as these type of fronts usually do ... I wonder how this could effecting timing tomorrow and also just how things evolve down the road
 
Newest HRRR shows more redevelopment of the band in about 3 or 4 hours. Even has some mod-heavy snow in the northern portions of the metro and a mix farther south around 5. We'll see though. Still somewhat skeptical.

HRRRSE_prec_ptype_007.png
yeah i keep watching the nam and hrrr and they have been pretty consistent with that. its getting my hopes up for Dahlonega, but i'm almost thinking my brother in canton might do better since the cold air shouldn't be blocked as long by the mountains like it might be here (i admit i saw moto say that on fb)
 
Yeap I was at NCSU at the time around 96 or so.


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I recall some convective snow bands that moved through Raleigh at the end of November while I was at NCSU. Think it was '08 or '09. Must have been around Thanksgiving as thr campus was a ghost town and I was walking to the library. Had a few quick bursts of snow where the sun came back out between each burst and temps were around 40 so nothing stuck.
 
NWS RAH doesn't seem too excited around here. WRAL hasn't mentioned snow shower potential for tomorrow either.

From NWS RAH...
"Highs will occur in the morning (with steady of slowly falling
temperatures, even with skies becoming mostly sunny in the
afternoon. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. Clear and very cold
Friday night, lows 15-20 NW-N and 20-25 SE."

They should probably mention potential for flurries and no accumulation, but maybe their primary focus is the severe wx today. I bet they do when the disco is updated this evening and WRAL starts mentioning it later..
 
I recall some convective snow bands that moved through Raleigh at the end of November while I was at NCSU. Think it was '08 or '09. Must have been around Thanksgiving as thr campus was a ghost town and I was walking to the library. Had a few quick bursts of snow where the sun came back out between each burst and temps were around 40 so nothing stuck.
I remember those as well in 08
 
Many years back, we had some convective snow bands come through the day after a storm. It was very impressive. It would darken up, snow (big flakes) for 20 minutes, stop, and then the sun would come out. It did this three or four times.

I used to live in western WV back during the mid 2000s and we used to get a lot of convective snow showers during NWF and clipper events. You’d usually have a number of days during the winter which would go sun -> heavy snow -> sun -> snow -> sun, etc. Often there would be a dusting, at best, with this (that would melt when the sun came out again), but on rare occasions we’d make out with a bit more. They honestly get a bit old when you experience them all the time (given getting more than a dusting that doesn’t instamelt is so rare), but when you don’t (like around here), they can be fun. Just keep expectations at 0.
 
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I used to live in western WV back during the mid 2000s and we used to get a lot of convective snow showers during NWF and clipper events. You’d usually have a number of days during the winter which would go sun -> heavy snow -> sun -> snow -> sun, etc. Often there would be a dusting, at best, with this (that would melt when the sun came out again), but on rare occasions we’d make out with a bit more. They honestly get a bit old when you experience them all the time, but when you don’t (like around here), they can be fun. Just keep expectations at 0.
Flurries would be a win.... If I remember right, we didn't get much accumulation. But it was really pretty when it was coming down. Of course with each band, I would hope it kept going (which it didn't).
 
Flurries would be a win.... If I remember right, we didn't get much accumulation. But it was really pretty when it was coming down. Of course with each band, I would hope it kept going (which it didn't).
I wish those kind of convective bands could happen at night as that’s when they could really add up without the sun sizzling all the snow away in between showers, but given their nature, they need the sun to fire up. :(
 
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