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Wintry ❄The Christmas Miracle❄(12-24/12-25)

Myfrotho704_ said:
Headed the right direction View attachment 59445
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Looks like the NAM.

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Robert West said:
I'm definitely starting to think areas East of the mountains will see scattered flurries after the main energy pulls through. Even in parts of South Carolina. Youre starting to see hints of it in most models.
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Obviously there’s no concern about cold with how strong this front is, but I am worried about the dry air that comes with it. Soundings show either a dry DGZ or dry ground level. Please don’t give me a Virga storm for Christmas

That being said, I’m sure a few places have some surprises in store, but I wouldn’t expect widespread flurries, especially east of the apps.


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FamouslyHot said:
Obviously there’s no concern about cold with how strong this front is, but I am worried about the dry air that comes with it. Soundings show either a dry DGZ or dry ground level. Please don’t give me a Virga storm for Christmas

That being said, I’m sure a few places have some surprises in store, but I wouldn’t expect widespread flurries, especially east of the apps.


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Agree! That would be a huge concern. Super dry airmass moving in, i'd have major doubts in many flurries making it to the surface. Poor little guys..
 
Latest update from FFC:
The focus then turns to the cold air rushing in behind the cold
front and any attendant potential for snow. Unfortunately for the
snow lovers hoping for a White Christmas, accumulating snow is not
expected for most of us. While there will be a narrow window where
exiting precipitation could briefly interact with strong cold air
advection and change into light snow in north Georgia, this would be
fleeting before precip quickly ends and not amount to any
accumulations for most areas. The exception will be the mountain
counties in far north Georgia where temperatures will more quickly
fall below freezing behind the front and a changeover may lead to
light accumulations. Additionally, while moisture behind the front
will be quite limited, lingering light snow showers will remain
possible in the mountains due to interaction of the upper trough,
which may lead to additional light accumulations. All told, even in
the mountains, total accumulations appear to be on the light side.
Highest accumulations of perhaps 1-2" would be relegated along
the highest peaks with amounts under an inch in the remainder of
the far north counties.

Otherwise, Christmas Day will be cold. Highs will struggle to
rise above freezing in north Georgia and barely rise above 40 in
central Georgia. In fact, if the current forecast high of 35 at
Atlanta is realized, it would tie for the 5th coldest Christmas
high temperature and the coldest since 1989. Temperatures will
gradually moderate through the weekend, approaching normal highs
by Sunday. The next weak system looks to approach by Monday or so,
though some minor timing differences remain between models. At
any rate, QPF appears minor at this time.
 
Snowfan said:
Latest update from FFC:
The focus then turns to the cold air rushing in behind the cold
front and any attendant potential for snow. Unfortunately for the
snow lovers hoping for a White Christmas, accumulating snow is not
expected for most of us. While there will be a narrow window where
exiting precipitation could briefly interact with strong cold air
advection and change into light snow in north Georgia, this would be
fleeting before precip quickly ends and not amount to any
accumulations for most areas. The exception will be the mountain
counties in far north Georgia where temperatures will more quickly
fall below freezing behind the front and a changeover may lead to
light accumulations. Additionally, while moisture behind the front
will be quite limited, lingering light snow showers will remain
possible in the mountains due to interaction of the upper trough,
which may lead to additional light accumulations. All told, even in
the mountains, total accumulations appear to be on the light side.
Highest accumulations of perhaps 1-2" would be relegated along
the highest peaks with amounts under an inch in the remainder of
the far north counties.

Otherwise, Christmas Day will be cold. Highs will struggle to
rise above freezing in north Georgia and barely rise above 40 in
central Georgia. In fact, if the current forecast high of 35 at
Atlanta is realized, it would tie for the 5th coldest Christmas
high temperature and the coldest since 1989. Temperatures will
gradually moderate through the weekend, approaching normal highs
by Sunday. The next weak system looks to approach by Monday or so,
though some minor timing differences remain between models. At
any rate, QPF appears minor at this time.
Click to expand...
Their earlier update was more optimistic. This one not so much. Not sure why
 
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