Interesting that both AI gfs and euro hold precip over the longer on Thursday while the ops are more progressive
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Pattern Fab Feb
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
NBAcentel
Member
It’s time to rage…. For a torch !! Gonna feel like summer in the 60s 
NBAcentel
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
At least soil temps will be cold, which will help provided we get some snow to actually fall. Warm soil temps + 32-34 degree temps makes it hard to get accumulations without heavy rates, but give us cold soil and maybe we can work with that, even if rates aren't great.
Pre-emergent was dropped 2 weeks ago by my yard guy. Dormantly sitting snug under a blanket of soft snow awaiting to attack that first warm attempt at weed germination
At this point, this threat kind of seems like a rain-to-mood flakes at the end; maybe we see a dusting / coating on elevated surfaces kind of thing. But, here's to hoping! It does seem like we may get the mid-levels to cool off enough for snow for the last tenth of an inch of liquid or so, but the BL looks like an issue and we don't have a lot of precip to waste cooling that off. Moreover, light snow at 34 degrees just isn't going to do it. But I'll be tracking it because I can't help myself. I suppose it's not implausible that this could trend to a coating - 2" kind of deal if the right pieces change places, but it's certainly not a favored solution.
Don’t forget the coastal plain, they got another one footer left this winter too!
Gfs and cmc holding moisture back on Thursday like the AI models now. Would probably be a rain to snow event for many
thoughts?
How you get out of this mess before March...going to take a lot of that Charlotte/Greensboro/PGV luck...but they can do it if anyone.
Time to tune up the lawn mowers and get the fertilizer ready to go.
Time to tune up the lawn mowers and get the fertilizer ready to go.
I'm still hesitant to believe this is going to materialize. It just hasn't so far this winter. There might be a thaw but pattern keeps on repeating.
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BHS1975
Member
Slider in the works
It's hard to say that this week's potential winter weather threat will amount to much besides some tail end of the event flakes for folks west of the mountains. Cold air chasing moisture is not a proven formula for success if you want winter weather in the Southeast.
As far as the general pattern for the rest of February, that is still up in the air. Models are hinting at a ridge developing in the Eastern part of the United States around the middle of the month and they are hard to dislodge once they set up. The models have been horrible at forecasting long range trends during this strange and abnormally cold winter so what they are telling us should not be taken as gospel.
As far as the general pattern for the rest of February, that is still up in the air. Models are hinting at a ridge developing in the Eastern part of the United States around the middle of the month and they are hard to dislodge once they set up. The models have been horrible at forecasting long range trends during this strange and abnormally cold winter so what they are telling us should not be taken as gospel.
Yall got any of them weathernext images for Thursday 
The EURO now has the low for Monroe dropping to -1. Tonight. Just curious to see the mets on here opinion of just how low it could go to over the snow pack
We got down to 7 in Matthews last night, would love to make a run at 0 with the snow cover
