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Pattern Jarring January

wow the EPS Is so unimpressed here... a low of 30 is the coldest lmfao. Its almost that cold at 2pm in the afternoon today.:p

Zero support for the GFS
 
It's amazing how much models are all over the place. Cmc still frigid? Lmao
 
Storm5 said:
I’m ready for this . EPs says it won’t be long now
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Well that sucks, I was just getting used to cold air for a change, hopefully it'll get pushed back.
 
If you wann hold out hope for the New Years storm the NAM looks similar to the gfs and nothing like the euro or cmc . I know it’s the nam at 84 , I’m trying to post something positive for those that are still holding on to dear life
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Storm5 said:
If you wann hold out hope for the New Years storm the NAM looks similar to the gfs and nothing like the euro or cmc . I know it’s the nam at 84 , I’m trying to post something positive for those that are still holding on to dear life
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Makes sense the NAM would be similar to the GFS, the boundary conditions at the edge of the domain of the NAM are provided by the GFS and as the forecast progresses, those similarities in the NAM & GFS forecasts creep towards the center of the domain... What this essentially means is that oftentimes the NAM is just the GFS 2.0 lol
 
Webberweather53 said:
Makes sense the NAM would be similar to the GFS, the boundary conditions at the edge of the domain of the NAM are provided by the GFS and as the forecast progresses, those similarities in the NAM & GFS forecasts creep towards the center of the domain... What this essentially means is that oftentimes the NAM is just the GFS 2.0 lol
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Get your poo train ready . We might need it in this thread by tomorrow . Due to my cold bias and love for winter weather I’m giving it until the 00z runs tonight . If they look like hell my flag will be white and I’ll start washing shorts
 
Storm5 said:
Get your poo train ready . We might need it in this thread by tomorrow . Due to my cold bias and love for winter weather I’m giving it until the 00z runs tonight . If they look like hell my flag will be white and I’ll start washing shorts
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And if the gfs hold serve?? I get to start the thread up??
 
The thing is the GFS wouldn't be too ridiculous if an actual storm happened but as I see from quickly reading, CMC and Euro both were no storm (as I was headed home so I wasn't here). That changes everything temperature wise going further.

Regardless I'm going to need a break from this soon. My brain is tired.
 
Storm5 said:
Get your poo train ready . We might need it in this thread by tomorrow . Due to my cold bias and love for winter weather I’m giving it until the 00z runs tonight . If they look like hell my flag will be white and I’ll start washing shorts
Click to expand...
Don't count chickens when there are no eggs in the nest yet ... ;)
 
I say dont start a thread at all, then we get our storm
 
hmmm, looking at the EPS city chart for me, I'm actually not as sure it changes everything temperature wise but it might end the cold sooner. Has three straight days topping out in the mid 30s.
 
Huntsville NWS going with the drier Euro/CMC combo

Virtually every forecast office in the southeast is tossing the GFS

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This is what FFC says
The Thursday/Friday event is not the only potential for winter
precip for the next week. In this active upper level pattern,
looks like we could see another chance Sunday into Monday, and
then early Tuesday. For now, confidence is low, so have indicated
mixed precip, no accumulations, and low chances
Click to expand...
 
Storm5 said:
Huntsville NWS going with the drier Euro/CMC combo

Virtually every forecast office in the southeast is tossing the GFS

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Click to expand...
Just like last storm, there playing safe. There going with lowest right now
 
I’m rooting for the underdog (GFS). If it’s wrong, it’s wrong. But that would be something if it is actually correct.
 
From Memphis. They basically say the gfs is full of crap. In which we already know

The GFS is about the only model holding on to the Wintry
Precipitation next weekend. Not ready to completely remove pops
for the weekend, but lowered them considerably and reduced the
duration to only Sunday into Sunday night as a Cold front sweeps
across the area.
 
If one were to be looking at the GFS for some odd reason; looks like it's gonna be even more North so far, lol.
 
The Euro showed this storm, on one run, about 3 days ago, correct?
 
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