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Pattern Jarring January

Jesus the cold on the cmc and the cold coming this run of the gfs .


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SW is coming out too late it’s about to get crushed by the northern stream
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It might be what we want in this stage of everything. 7 days out.
 
Just a 1050 high in plains and moisture pooling in TX! Could be good
 
If the sw energy is as slow as this run shows we are screwed


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Yep crushed . Way too slow kicking out . It has to be timed just right or the powerful Northern stream will crush . The 24 hour trends are not on our side . Thank god its 7 days out


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Yep crushed . Way too slow kicking out . It has to be timed just right or the powerful Northern stream will crush . The 24 hour trends are not on our side . Thank god its 7 days out


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What did the 6z gefs have for this storm?
 
00z vs 12z . Look what happens when the SW kicks out and gets out in front of the northern stream - amplification. If it’s too slow and the northern stream gets out front it’s crush city and you get an ugly run like 12z .

00z

15aca8e5da5c3c7258223058f8cd28fd.jpg
66a606d690e19b45bb586ff4d27e7631.jpg


Vs 12z

415c60f79738bb6947b7ebf16b08b785.jpg
5c44a5c1536ead10ca43dc0e05841002.jpg



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Yep crushed . Way too slow kicking out . It has to be timed just right or the powerful Northern stream will crush . The 24 hour trends are not on our side . Thank god its 7 days out


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Looks like the 00z Euro. Better get ready to toss the towel in on this one too...LOL!


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That supressed look on the NYE storm , really looks good this far out! Would really be happier with a miss to the south, than to have a cold rain! Atleast it will be cold for awhile! Before spring gets here mid Jan
 
That high as mentioned is likely bogus. I bet things won't be as flattened when it comes down to reality.

Yep but need the Euro to be on board before we get to excited. The Euro does have this system suppressed and at this pt. that’s where you want it.


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00z vs 12z . Look what happens when the SW kicks out and gets out in front of the northern stream - amplification. If it’s too slow and the northern stream gets out front it’s crush city and you get an ugly run like 12z .

00z

15aca8e5da5c3c7258223058f8cd28fd.jpg
66a606d690e19b45bb586ff4d27e7631.jpg


Vs 12z

415c60f79738bb6947b7ebf16b08b785.jpg
5c44a5c1536ead10ca43dc0e05841002.jpg



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Big difference in the Ridge location in the west as well as the s/w diving in over the upper midwest. Need to let that ridge be more west or it will shear the southern s/w against the northern stream.
 
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