• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Jarring January

While the gfs could be wrong its been very consistent on a winter storm and brutal cold temps for us here in the mid south the last four runs. I haven't had a sub zero temp here since 1988.
 
We lost this weeks storm about day 5.5 or 6 on the Sat 12/23 runs so I refuse to get my hopes up at all until inside day 5. We even had tons of ensemble support and it just went poof:(
 
Happy New Year from the gfs



Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
263178b2b11057c78fb5841f9c0f0d42.jpg
 
4 general threats have emerged out of this favorable pattern in late December & early January. We have one tomorrow (nickel/dime event at best), another on the 28th-29th that's still being sorted out and it looks like the period from January 2-6 has split into 2 separate threats in the EPS, one on January 1-3 & another January 5-7, which could end up being the last one for a while if this pattern flips by mid-month. There's a fifth threat trying to emerge right before New Years but it doesn't have much momentum atm except near Fayetteville, & Raleigh NC
KATL_2017122600_eps24_snow_360.png
KBHM_2017122600_eps24_snow_360.png
KRDU_2017122600_eps24_snow_360.png
KFAY_2017122600_eps24_snow_360.png
 
Brad Huffines, former long time meteorologist here in Huntsville, posted this about the upcoming cold coming here:

As cold as my ex-wife's heart.That is, at least on night two, cold enough to bust water pipes inside walls and attics of homes, and especially older manufactured homes whose substructure plumbing isn't as well insulated as newer construction. And then the pipe freezing weather continues for several days. Insurance companies should be out ahead of this with messaging to their clients.
 
whatalife said:
Very wise move on their part.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I
metwannabe said:
For fun who has the good GEFS maps, looked good on Pivotal.... I want to see my next disappointment
Click to expand...
I will delete all negative comments. I saw the poo train in the Friday threat thread . That is not allowed in here
 
Stormlover said:
Brad Huffines, former long time meteorologist here in Huntsville, posted this about the upcoming cold coming here:

As cold as my ex-wife's heart.That is, at least on night two, cold enough to bust water pipes inside walls and attics of homes, and especially older manufactured homes whose substructure plumbing isn't as well insulated as newer construction. And then the pipe freezing weather continues for several days. Insurance companies should be out ahead of this with messaging to their clients.
Click to expand...
A little premature as nothing really supports the gfs and cmc cold. Their ensembles are warmer , still cold but warmer
 
Storm5 said:
A little premature as nothing really supports the gfs and cmc cold. Their ensembles are warmer , still cold but warmer
Click to expand...
Don't be posting negative comments now, lol, j/k. He does the EMA type stuff for a living though, he is a serious person about this. Anyway, I'll take the GEFS mean.:)
 
As Webber pointed out days ago and today the mean on the gefs is not really related to the New Year’s Day storm. It picking up on other threats down the road . The New Year’s Day mean is very light at the moment which is fine . A light system can have massive impacts with really cold temps
 
I've never witnessed so many ensembles depicting snow in regions (such as mine) that usually only see events every 5-10 years. I hope that everyone on this board cashes out before this winter reaches a conclusion.
 
Storm5 said:
Gefs mean through next Tuesday
a147d7959c5d82c9e9ae45680bff2260.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Thing about that is..even an inch isn't going away and it will stay frozen on many roads for days, esp lesser travelled and shaded, so impacts would be far more than 3 inches that melted quickly
 
Stormlover said:
Thing about that is..even an inch isn't going away and it will stay frozen on many roads for days, esp lesser travelled and shaded, so impacts would be far more than 3 inches that melted quickly
Click to expand...

True dat ☃️


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top