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It's quite the setup for a monster rain event assuming inflow doesn't get choked down by gulf convection
WXinCanton
Member
NAM brings the heavy stuff north. We don't need it, golf course are so muddy, keep it south please. This slazy guy doesn't like cart path only.
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Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Dang the south side of Atlanta may get practically nothing.
WXinCanton
Member
Drove over the Etowah river yesterday and it was slightly over the bank. Ground being so saturated isn't going to help if the NAM is correct.
12z RGEM for reference.
There are several models dropping 3-4 inches down that way. We will see what happens
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Either way, Shetley gets 2-4”, so that’s a win, to not have to hear from him for a week!Drove over the Etowah river yesterday and it was slightly over the bank. Ground being so saturated isn't going to help if the NAM is correct.
12z RGEM for reference.
Don’t worry late May and talk of endless drought and 115 degree highs will be here before you know it. Anyway the one good thing about this rainfall is that it is building up water tables as the early green out progresses. Trees are going to be soaking it up a lot more in the next few weeksEither way, Shetley gets 2-4”, so that’s a win, to not have to hear from him for a week!
Hopefully we can get some rain to get rid of the D0. Had less than 1 inch in Feb, Dec has been the only AN month since last July
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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CltNative90
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Interesting for tracking purposes only, since it’ll just mean more rain for us, but the new Euro AI model has been showing a big phasing nor’easter around the 19th for several runs in a row now. If it catches on this far out, maybe it can be a useful tool during hurricane season and next winter.
This is actually something that I’ve been curious about with it. It will be interesting to see if it does a better job than the EURO of catching on to tropical storm development… something that has always been a struggle for the EURO. It’s always done a great job on the track but typically after a storm has formed
FamouslyHot
Member
IIRC the updates to the GFS a couple of years ago made it much more sensitive to tropical cyclogenesis. I'd be really curious to see how the AI Euro compares to the GFS as well as the standard Euro in terms of both sensitivity and accuracy in predicting cyclogenesis.
SnowwxAtl
Member
Is it me, I think the heavy rain will he south of Atlanta near Macon and Columbus.
Brent
Member
The amount of people here shocked it's cold again is hilarious
And it's not even that cold for early March it's much closer to average than the 80s were... And Wednesday may push 80 again
Tulsa has hit -3 in March before
And it's not even that cold for early March it's much closer to average than the 80s were... And Wednesday may push 80 again
Tulsa has hit -3 in March before
1st freeze of the month coming up Monday morning for much of the board, finally.
wind might keep temps up a few degrees though.
wind might keep temps up a few degrees though.
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olhausen
Member
When we have long stretches of above average temps in February and early march people tend to forget how it can get cold into mid April. My average low is 34.1 for this date but our lows the last few weeks have mostly been in the 50s. Temp is 45 right now and it feels like 25 to meThe amount of people here shocked it's cold again is hilarious
And it's not even that cold for early March it's much closer to average than the 80s were... And Wednesday may push 80 again
Tulsa has hit -3 in March before
But In January after a week of highs in the teens 45 felt great!
Yep winter is just about to get started per the last few years.
That pattern on the eps is stout just need a -nao to go to epic
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How many people would you say are shocked?The amount of people here shocked it's cold again is hilarious
And it's not even that cold for early March it's much closer to average than the 80s were... And Wednesday may push 80 again
Tulsa has hit -3 in March before
accu35
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“The amount”
Iceagewhereartthou
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GORGEOUS out there today, completely feels like a classic Fall day; blue sky, breeze, and 62/18.
NCHighCountryWX
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NCSNOW
Member
The fun we could have if that energy will come on out of the SW next mon into Tuesday.
Euro Op, Euro AI and GFS all agree at H5. Gonna get chilly at the least for a day or two one more good time.
Euro Op, Euro AI and GFS all agree at H5. Gonna get chilly at the least for a day or two one more good time.
Ready to move forward and have some warm and sunny days. Once it gets to March I'm ready for winter to be done.
Windergawx
Member
Bermuda already seeing some sprouts. no more cold!
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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I’m done
Brent
Member
Where was this pattern all winter
It's the same pattern it's always been for NC. Snow in the mountains and rain for the rest of us.
If the tpv gets trapped in Canada good luck getting it out. Worst case scenario
If we somehow avoid our first 80s Thursday through Saturday which seems unlikely imo its going to be a while before we threaten it again. That's impressive to me given how warm the year has been overall
Spring nuke on the table? I’m over it. Disgusted even 
BHS1975
Member
About where this one is, many days out.
This is one of the better signals we've had all winter, shoot pretty much the only one we've had inside of 7 days.
Let's get some constructive discussion vs the echo chamber of belly aching...
I like some others here are cold weather fans, looks to be shaping up for a cool extended spring which I am all for. Keep the oppressive heat/humidity away as long as possible because it will eventually come!
Let's get some constructive discussion vs the echo chamber of belly aching...
I like some others here are cold weather fans, looks to be shaping up for a cool extended spring which I am all for. Keep the oppressive heat/humidity away as long as possible because it will eventually come!
That’s about as good of a snowfall mean as we’ve seen all winter, which itself is tragic.
No freezes for the immediate future…could be one of the earliest, if not THE earliest, last freezes in record around here if that doesn’t change.
Brent
Member
The GFS is just being silly now 