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It's quite the setup for a monster rain event assuming inflow doesn't get choked down by gulf convection
WXinCanton
Member
NAM brings the heavy stuff north. We don't need it, golf course are so muddy, keep it south please. This slazy guy doesn't like cart path only.
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Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Dang the south side of Atlanta may get practically nothing.
WXinCanton
Member
Drove over the Etowah river yesterday and it was slightly over the bank. Ground being so saturated isn't going to help if the NAM is correct.
12z RGEM for reference.
There are several models dropping 3-4 inches down that way. We will see what happens
Either way, Shetley gets 2-4”, so that’s a win, to not have to hear from him for a week!Drove over the Etowah river yesterday and it was slightly over the bank. Ground being so saturated isn't going to help if the NAM is correct.
12z RGEM for reference.
Don’t worry late May and talk of endless drought and 115 degree highs will be here before you know it. Anyway the one good thing about this rainfall is that it is building up water tables as the early green out progresses. Trees are going to be soaking it up a lot more in the next few weeksEither way, Shetley gets 2-4”, so that’s a win, to not have to hear from him for a week!
Hopefully we can get some rain to get rid of the D0. Had less than 1 inch in Feb, Dec has been the only AN month since last July
CltNative90
Member
Interesting for tracking purposes only, since it’ll just mean more rain for us, but the new Euro AI model has been showing a big phasing nor’easter around the 19th for several runs in a row now. If it catches on this far out, maybe it can be a useful tool during hurricane season and next winter.
This is actually something that I’ve been curious about with it. It will be interesting to see if it does a better job than the EURO of catching on to tropical storm development… something that has always been a struggle for the EURO. It’s always done a great job on the track but typically after a storm has formed
FamouslyHot
Member
IIRC the updates to the GFS a couple of years ago made it much more sensitive to tropical cyclogenesis. I'd be really curious to see how the AI Euro compares to the GFS as well as the standard Euro in terms of both sensitivity and accuracy in predicting cyclogenesis.
SnowwxAtl
Member
Is it me, I think the heavy rain will he south of Atlanta near Macon and Columbus.
Brent
Member
The amount of people here shocked it's cold again is hilarious
And it's not even that cold for early March it's much closer to average than the 80s were... And Wednesday may push 80 again
Tulsa has hit -3 in March before
And it's not even that cold for early March it's much closer to average than the 80s were... And Wednesday may push 80 again
Tulsa has hit -3 in March before
cyclogent
Member
1st freeze of the month coming up Monday morning for much of the board, finally.
wind might keep temps up a few degrees though.
wind might keep temps up a few degrees though.
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olhausen
Member
When we have long stretches of above average temps in February and early march people tend to forget how it can get cold into mid April. My average low is 34.1 for this date but our lows the last few weeks have mostly been in the 50s. Temp is 45 right now and it feels like 25 to meThe amount of people here shocked it's cold again is hilarious
And it's not even that cold for early March it's much closer to average than the 80s were... And Wednesday may push 80 again
Tulsa has hit -3 in March before
But In January after a week of highs in the teens 45 felt great!
