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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

Snowfan said:
zr_acc-imp.us_se.png
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Just for anyone that wants to know, a lot of this ZR is *barely ZR by like the slimmest of margins and could easily be snow.
 
accu35 said:
View attachment 141597
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If you live in south Central AL through Atlanta. Take this run and run like you stole it. Probably a ZR glaze then a very respectable 2-4” snow event. Definitely would like to see the cooler trend continue because dang that is razors edge.
 
Just to recap:

00z Icon is more/less a complete whiff with no storm
12z Euro was mostly a whiff as well.
00z GFS is a perfect track dream scenario.
00z Ukmet is a slightly inland tracking nuke job that's rain east of the apps.
00z CMC is close to an apps cutter with severe weather threat on the coastal plain.

place your bets?
 
rburrel2 said:
Just to recap:

00z Icon is more/less a complete whiff with no storm
12z Euro was mostly a whiff as well.
00z GFS is a perfect track dream scenario.
00z Ukmet is a slightly inland tracking nuke job that's rain east of the apps.
00z CMC is close to an apps cutter with severe weather threat on the coastal plain.

place your bets?
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Honestly based of the past years, my bet would have to be on a complete whiff/no storm at all.
 
going to sounds really greedy

but i actually think there's a lot of room for improvement on the gfs. so far the trend hasn't stopped.

cmc i think is eating rocks. i don't think it digs the trough far enough and i think is fair to call an outlier

(also on the ukmet i've only ever viewed it from pivotal and members posting paysites that spit out weather maps that look like they were used in WWII. don't think it's out yet)
 
NCSNOW said:
That was good. Need a cigarette now and i dont smoke. Anyway, it can get better, a lot. And it can also head other direction. Fine line, jury is still out.
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How much better could it get? I feel like it probably took everything it had to get to that point lol.
 
Stevo24 said:
How much better could it get? I feel like it probably took everything it had to get to that point lol.
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We are all on the line,barely inside line,just outside the line. Gonna see a lot of wobbeling all ops, ens, short range models for another day or 2. That 0Z gfs run I had 4-5, but less than hour drive due east was zilch. You notice the clown maps all have v shapes off to the NE. This shows you that they are all seeing a storm, forming, deepening. Just depends on timing, when,where it starts,track etc. 25 to 50 miles one way or the other, even with our block, NE features,changes everything a lot for your backyard.
 
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