Here comes 12z GFS...
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Storm5
Member
like the 12z gfs so far there is less energy interaction
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Storm5
Member
this run is similar to the previous two with the energy out west
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The 50/50 at hr 84 is further north on this run. Overall some subtile changes in positioning of energy that may have downstream effects.
The entire North American H5 setup is pushed back by about 50 miles to the west on this run so far.
The pacific feature looks a bit different on this run compared to 06z and 00z. It is enclosed and further west, could mean even less interaction.
Jon
Member
SER is pretty much off the table due to the increased heights over Texas trending over the last few runs on all models and ensembles, splits the trough in half essentially.ATLWxFan link said:
Storm5
Member
yep I like where this run is headed the energy over Montana is getting out front with less interaction with our energy along the coastbouncycorn link said:
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Bsudweather
Member
- Joined
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This run could be another crush job, with the less interaction.
12z GFS about to say prepare for glory....
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Colder run than the 06z as of 117hr.
Storm5
Member
northern stream getting out front laying the ground work. now we need to watch if our energy can keep together
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Storm5
Member
ridging in the SW looks good. an important piece
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whatalife
Moderator
Nice...Storm5 link said:ridging in the SW looks good. an important piece
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Storm5
Member
energy starting to stretch out. was more consolidated at 00z
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tennessee storm
Member
like to see the trough dig tad more... but better looking thus far than 6z
Storm5
Member
incoming
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WXinCanton
Member
Yep and energy is slower out west.
Storm5
Member
really need that energy to stay consolidated and not get strung out
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This run may be good. Less precip but colder temps likely.
The energy starts consolidating and strengthening at 150hrs.
Storm5
Member
gonna look more like 06z . energy is really flat
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Storm5
Member
way too strung out
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Not as flat at 06z.
This may look similar to the 00z ECMWF.
DadOfJax
Member
Strung out mess...crushed by northern stream.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol the overrunning begins as early as 138 HR for parts of the mid-south
Storm5
Member
God what a strung out mess. that won't work . we need it more consolidatedbouncycorn link said:
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We definitely want the cold/suppressed look this far in advance esp on the GFS...
Storm5
Member
agreeWebberweather53 link said:
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N
NorthGaWinter
Guest
850s look great for MS,al, ga, Nc and sc. would be be all snow if we get the precip
Light snow at 168.. not enough precip (yet?)
Stormlover
Member
snow into north miss thur night