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Tropical Hurricane Ian

thunderwolf said:
Models are continuing to tick eastward
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Looks like consolidation more than anything. Just south of Charleston.
 
Loganelliott99 said:
Didn’t you say this storm wasn’t going to hit Florida? Lol


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Disappointment just dripping off his post.

Pretty funny that now HHI is on the very, very southern periphery of the hurricane models.
 
Lickwx said:
What’s with the one member curving all the way back out into the Atlantic ?
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I was just about to mention that. It looks like the UK. That would be strange, but not unheard of. I think it was Ivan in 2004 that the remnants exited the Mid-Atlantic coast, dropped south and looped back over Florida, then reformed into a tropical storm then made another landfall on the Gulf Coast
 
Stormsfury said:
Hugo was already put together well and was completing an ERC when it took off
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That's true and this thing is not going to go crazy but I think a decently strong Cat 1 is possible. The gradient from the high is going to exacerbate the situation too.
 
BullCityWx said:
HRRR is gonna be north of CHS, probably between Georgetown and CRE
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Yeah… even that is further south from its runs yesterday. With the NAM and UK coming back south and other models ticking north, I really think we’re looking at the Charleston area.
 
Do you guys think the tropical storm watch or warning will extend into the Western Piedmont of NC?


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This was posted by someone I worked with at Valdosta State. So, I know it’s true.

This was posted by a lifelong friend in Ft Myers. My heart dropped when reading it and I instantly felt the anxiety of our house flooding 6 years ago. Please wrap Chris in your prayer along with his neighbors and community. Today is the beginning of a long journey:

I’m going to say this once and please respect my privacy because this is going to be a rough road ahead for me and my pups. We lost everything that I own because our house was swallowed up by 9’ of water. I have some neighbors along with me IN THE ATTIC including a lady named Vicky Riley that I found hanging neck deep on a hand railing and swam her back to my house. If anyone knows her in the morse shores area she is somewhat delirious but dry and safe and I’m watching over her until we can get rescued. I have no idea where we go from here but this house will need to be leveled. I have boats all over my yard and brought one to my garage door that was touching the roof when I swam it over for our last ditch plan if these roof went under. Everyone up here is calm and extremely exhausted surviving this day. If anyone knows of this lady, please tell them that I have her and she is resting comfortably along with others laying on random things we could use to stay off of the fiberglass. We will all need a tremendous amount of help just finding a dry place to live next. Keep us in your thoughts please.
 
vsublazer said:
This was posted by someone I worked with at Valdosta State. So, I know it’s true.

This was posted by a lifelong friend in Ft Myers. My heart dropped when reading it and I instantly felt the anxiety of our house flooding 6 years ago. Please wrap Chris in your prayer along with his neighbors and community. Today is the beginning of a long journey:

I’m going to say this once and please respect my privacy because this is going to be a rough road ahead for me and my pups. We lost everything that I own because our house was swallowed up by 9’ of water. I have some neighbors along with me IN THE ATTIC including a lady named Vicky Riley that I found hanging neck deep on a hand railing and swam her back to my house. If anyone knows her in the morse shores area she is somewhat delirious but dry and safe and I’m watching over her until we can get rescued. I have no idea where we go from here but this house will need to be leveled. I have boats all over my yard and brought one to my garage door that was touching the roof when I swam it over for our last ditch plan if these roof went under. Everyone up here is calm and extremely exhausted surviving this day. If anyone knows of this lady, please tell them that I have her and she is resting comfortably along with others laying on random things we could use to stay off of the fiberglass. We will all need a tremendous amount of help just finding a dry place to live next. Keep us in your thoughts please.
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Terrible to hear and wish them a quick recovery, but stories like this is why you leave. They don't give evacuation orders for no reason. If you go under one you need to leave.
 
Wednesday: 8a advisory NHC had 2nd LF on the Ga/SC border.
Wednesday: 2p advisory NHC had 2nd LF on Hilton Head.
Wednesday: 8p advisory NHC had 2nd LF north of HH, over Beaufort.
Thursday: 2a advisory NHC had 2nd LF north of Beaufort.
Thursday: 8a advisory NHC had 2nd L justnear Kiawah Island. (about a 60 mile shift north)

I think I am going to keep the trend and go with a Santee Coastal reserve landfall here (about another 50mi from current guidance)
 
There's been a lot of talk saying welp people should of left, and although I agree that you should pay attention and leave when told, there was just not much time from Ft. Myers south. I think the evac order was sent out Tuesday afternoon. These are mainly older people, it's already raining and windy, hotels are booked by then. The storm was on top of them quickly here after cuba.
 
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