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Pattern July '22

Whew, I just saw it got up to 102 and a heat index of 114 at RDU yesterday. Hottest temperature in years, I think. ?

I’m in Iceland now and yesterday it was in the low 50s with a wind driven rain.
 
Deja vu all over again, 0.01"

The edge of the flood-warned area was only about 4 miles east of my house :confused:
Well I know most modeling is showing some of the same areas getting hit again today and maybe so, but throughout my 50 yrs here once the atmosphere gets worked over like it did yesterday (in this area) usually doesn't repeat the next day. I'm hoping there's some leftover outflow boundaries and enough temp differential created by the have and have not areas that you guys are the ones hit today.
 
Yep current pattern and over the coming days "should" put a dent in this, but it's long term in some areas at this point and the damage (especially to some corn crops) has been done.

20220705_southeast_text.png
 
Had a real nice storm northeast of home yesterday but not much rain at home we keep getting skipped. GSP PoPs are 60, 60, 80 the next 3 days
 
Yep current pattern and over the coming days "should" put a dent in this, but it's long term in some areas at this point and the damage (especially to some corn crops) has been done.

20220705_southeast_text.png
not the same as corn, but most of my curled up grass is still curled up. It's like "Pfft. One rain aint getting me to come out of dormancy."
 
Models continue to struggle with the pattern evolution beyond early next week.

The general idea of increased -NAO blocking and deepening trough for the eastern half of the country seems to be the consistent theme, but they're having issues with resolving the strength of the trough, where it will be centered and how soon it will depart.

On top of that, they're now starting to advertise a tropical wave off the coast of TX/LA throwing a wrench into things.

Those factors will also determine how long the 100*F+ streak lasts here.
 
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I like my odds of seeing a few rain drops over the next week or so...though, I remember saying the exact same thing last week at this time. ?‍♂️

ecmwf-deterministic-carolinas-total_precip_inch-8059200.png
 
I like my odds of seeing a few rain drops over the next week or so...though, I remember saying the exact same thing last week at this time. ?‍♂️

View attachment 119783
Yeah I've seen maps with multiple inches of rain for my area for weeks and my location is still at 0.X in the inches of rainfall department.
 
Yeah I've seen maps with multiple inches of rain for my area for weeks and my location is still at 0.X in the inches of rainfall department.

That's where I am at too. I had turned off my sprinkles last week and it hasn't rained so I had to turn them back on. Looks like we going to get missed north and south...again.

Screen Shot 2022-07-07 at 4.27.44 PM.png
 
I like my odds of seeing a few rain drops over the next week or so...though, I remember saying the exact same thing last week at this time. ?‍♂️

View attachment 119783
Must be accurate with the minimum over Spartanburg and Cherokee counties in SC and Rutherford County in sw NC. Just kidding an inch over 2 days is decent. Today looks like a swing and miss by a few miles. But at least the outflow came through and cooled it off.
 
Looks like they are popping on the old outflows from yesterday getting some the folks that got missed yesterday. Sorry Shane. ?
 
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