tennessee storm
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10 days on the model itself 240hrs
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Pattern Januworry
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Things I heard last week … punt, canceled, kick can, summer, pool, April?, cold never coming, classic, -PNA, ur wrong I’m right it’ll going to be a warm January, warm January torch February next, 2011, 2015, SER for weeks no end in sight
Me to all of this .. wait and chill we’re fine
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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?
That's correct. Usually what I do is divide the total hours by 24. Unless it's in Celcius!
In the meantime, what I was getting at was that beolyond the range of the model, which is mostly garbage at D10 anyway, is that the low near th Aleutians was about to break free and pump the ridge. And the EPO block was migrating into a very favorable position. And the north central US low pressure was going to migrate east. All of those things were going to work in concert to drag down a lot of cold air.
cd2play
Member
Another flooding rain event for TN. Let's not and say we did.
Looking better and better. Tis The Season.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Freezing rain at 8F in Alaska today
I think the only thing that irks me is how it retreats to can and allows heights to be raised in the SE, still not AN tho 
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I wonder what the coldest temp that freezing rain has ever occurred ?
I wonder how self limiting ZR really is at 8 degrees?
Not to mention just how shallow does the freezing layer have to be for it not to be sleet? 200 feet or so?
Prestige Worldwide
Member
You’re gonna mess your shoulder up if you don’t stop. ?
I can remember in 1984 I think it was 14 degrees and rained in Troy,NY for 20 mins man what a mess!!
Brent
Member
Blue norther alert ? would be nice if there was some precip ?
Cad Wedge NC
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Happy New year, from your source region! 
Dewpoint Dan
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Gotta build up the snowcover in Iowa to get snow in the south !
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lots of snow in the Seattle game atm
So when was the last time it snowed in Seattle during an NFL game?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
December 21, 2008. Seahawks vs Jets.
Right now our source region is New Orleans.
StormWatch
Member
12z GEFS long range - Woah, look at the massive blocking over Russia and all over the pole with a very minimal southeastern ridge! If this verifies, it may get brutally cold during the 2nd week.
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We're not going to get brutally cold unless and until that ridge through the Aleutians pulls up stakes and heads out. I didn't play the animation, so maybe it's in progress. But that ridge gotta go.12z GEFS long range - Woah, look at the massive blocking over Russia and all over the pole with very minimal southeastern ridge! If this verifies, it may get brutally cold during the 2nd week.
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I think that depends on how cold it is in the layers above the surface. If it's 70's at 5,000 ft, you will need more time to freeze the water droplets and more depth.
Mr. Golf
Member
Eric already mentioned about if the -wpo develops, we fixing to get pretty cold, and it makes perfect sense, especially if the pna relaxes some. Whatever is needed to shake up the pattern
StormWatch
Member
We finally have snow on the GFS under 200 hrs! Something may give from this, still a good way to go though.
BufordWX
Member
Interesting…
The 12z Euro showed something similar earlier.
Painalfrontal snow setup on the GFS 
Eww this is a ugly change in the GOA
John1122
Member
I've had it at 10f here but never single digits. Started out as sleet at 7, then switched to zr by 10, was in the 20s about 45 minutes later but never managed to get out of the 20s. Was quite messy.
John1122
Member
Looks like Christmas last year here in Tennessee.
Oh no, here we go again. J/k, this is just the very tossable HH run. So, we toss. Haven’t tossed in awhile. So, we’ve earned extra tosses.
Only if some southern stream energy could play nice, there’s some very weak stuff in Texas but it gets sheared 
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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We don’t toss this!
Not this again. With Februay usually being known as a warm month for the SE during La Nina seasons, we can't afford to kick the can down the road much. Thankfuly this just one GFS op run. I wait until we get into the 0z model runs before I starting freaking out or seeing this as a possible trend.
Lol that confluence on the GFS has us with <0 850s for days, it would be a perfect opportunity to throw a southern stream wave into that