Got a few DFW sites reporting gusts over 50 MPH right now.
Pretty widespread 35 - 45 MPH gusts though.
Pretty widespread 35 - 45 MPH gusts though.
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Pattern December to Remember
- Thread starter SD
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Got to love how touchy the pattern is around Christmas op gfs comes in chilly gefs mean is warm vs the 6z
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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NCSNOW
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SouthSideYankee
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Starting to see good trends at the surface on the gfs. Let's gooo.
Tarheel1
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Looks like the energy diving through west Canada the week of Christmas is the bugaboo. The gfs kind of splits that/keeps it separated instead of bodily digging it down the west coast which many of the gefs must be doing
Oh the gfs ended up dumping the entire strat pv into Canada 
BHS1975
Member
Just got a hell of a wind gust out of nowhere. Almost sounded like the windows were going to blow on.
Oh yeahhhhh 
This might make Christmas colder on the euro fwiw given more seperation between PNW trough and can trough, lfggg
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I am mere inches of way from scoring my first snow of the season this weekend on the 12z ECMWF.
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Idk if I like where it's going
Cary_Snow95
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Cary_Snow95
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Mega -EPO but it’s dumping everything west
Welp that euro run sucked
whatalife
Moderator
We still allowed to post 300 hour graphics in here? Ultimate weenie pattern fantasy. What an evolution this would be in the pacific..
We need a phase between these 2 so we can have a powerful 50/50 low dragging cold down 
Yup either phase it or bomb out the northern wave like the gfs. Long way to go with it but overall the trend stunk for right around Christmas minus the op gfs. Watch the eps have a super cold look now
Eps wasting no time failing along the WC
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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bigstick10
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Now it is back to near 70 in ATL on XMAS...LOL
Brent
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It feels like a spring severe day here
Stephenb888
Member
I don’t understand how it’s a week out and these models are so bad that we don’t even know if it’s gonna be hot or cold on Christmas.
iGRXY
Member
Christmas is still 10 days away and in the middle of what could be a potential pattern change. To expect these models to lock onto one solution this far out is naive at best.
I will believe it when I see it. It's obvious to me that it's not worth checking out the specifics that far out considering what we have seen lately.
Quiz: what do these 5 periods have in common weatherwise?
- 12/29/1967-1/13/1968
- 12/1/1968-1/16/1969
- 12/27/1978-1/9/1979
- 1/24/1979- 2/21/1979
- 11/27/2010-12/25/2010
I’ll have more to say about this when I get some time, hopefully by this evening. Hint: it may be relevant to upcoming SE weather forecasting discussions for very late this month into January.
- 12/29/1967-1/13/1968
- 12/1/1968-1/16/1969
- 12/27/1978-1/9/1979
- 1/24/1979- 2/21/1979
- 11/27/2010-12/25/2010
I’ll have more to say about this when I get some time, hopefully by this evening. Hint: it may be relevant to upcoming SE weather forecasting discussions for very late this month into January.
ATLwxfan
Member
Well when the modeled cold is CAD dependent the difference between 70 and 50 ain’t all that much.
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I like the early change so far but this could still could become trash let’s see 
This looks like a ST lol has a warm core 
Birdie 
That’s some monstrous SE Canada vortex would really be nice if we had some energy to work with that 
