• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern December to Remember

CMC is ice storm warning for Wilkes/Surry but moisture looks to heavy…prob warm at 28-30 no accum.
 
SD said:
Yeah the memories fade quickly on the bad winters but you never forget the good ones. Kind of like 01-02 around here. Pretty terrible winter as a whole but I got a foot in early Jan so it was a winner to me
Click to expand...
This was 2016 for me. Huge 12 inch snow in mid January made it all worth it. We torched quickly after it fell and most of it was gone in 4 days. will never forget it though because it was dropping 2 inch per hour rates and was easily the biggest snow I’ve ever had here.
 
I really want to hug the 12z CMC op run. But the evidence for a balmy holiday season is sadly overwhelming. Hopefully the pattern changes just in time for Christmas eve. Not really holding my breath on it though. ?
 
There's really no good reason to think that such a solution is remotely possible in the current regime.
 
Will Rossman said:
I really want to hug the 12z CMC op run. But the evidence for a balmy holiday season is sadly overwhelming. Hopefully the pattern changes just in time for Christmas eve. Not really holding my breath on it though. ?
Click to expand...
70 on Christmas Eve. Snow storm on Christmas. Then 70 the day after
 
CyclonicFury said:
I wouldn't be surprised if this was the second warmest December on record for some areas behind only 2015. I could see average highs 60+ for the month in most southern cities.
Click to expand...
Couldn’t agree more. It will give 2015 a run for its money
 
GaWx said:
Hoping for a repeat of 1984-5, when ENSO was very similar:

Nov of 1984 was mild in most of the central US and Maine but quite cold in the SE/lower MA states, very similar to Nov of 2021:View attachment 96631

Dec of 1984 was way AN in the E US due largely to MC dominant MJO and we’re very likely headed to a similarly very mild Dec of 2021:

View attachment 96632

Here’s the historic Jan of 1985, which turned sharply colder as the MJO rotated to the cold/left side:

View attachment 96633

Here’s to hoping for a January of 1985 this January (again the ENSO is similar and the MJO will hopefully be similar)!
Click to expand...

Too bad with AGW and high Pac SSTS the MJO gets stuck in the MC and we torch till March.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
One thing that is very possible in these SER dominate setups is the likelihood of a lot of CAD days. Wouldn't surprise me to see those east of the mountains get those 40 and 50 degree dreary days that is showing up on the CMC. Highly doubt it will even get close to an ice storm type of cold but definitely could be a prolonged period of CAD and help partially eliminate so of those hot anomalies. Good luck to you west of the mountains.
 
I can’t believe nobody can see the resemblance of this current situation, to the winter of 11/12!
 
acttemp_1280x720.jpg
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top