Almost a guarantee we don’t sniff anything close to those heights up around Greenland in a couple months when it actually matters.
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Pattern Novemburrr
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Brent
Member
Yeah I gotta be honest I'm not really buying into it here even. I'm just not sure it's gonna line up right. It is still November after all.
1081? ?
Really impressive. Will be shocked if some of the higher elevations don’t accumulate on the backend with something like this.
Looking at models for the first time this season tonight. Lock this pacific look in at 500mb and realistically we would be breaking SE heat records sometime down the road
I dont know still Big blocking over head I think will continue to shunt that SER
Brent
Member
The 384 hour GFS looks good... In December (?)
Of course it's 384 hours ?
Of course it's 384 hours ?
I wouldn’t be surprised if we can’t try to squeeze some flurries under this thing
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I hate to break it to you, but all of that "build up" to our north will very likely go to waste because the Pacific is straight trash. The +EPO will flood the entire continent w/ mild Pacific air, our already often benign continental polar air masses won't have much, if any punch with them and a lot of that snow cover to the north will probably melt..
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I wouldn't count on it, unless you're in the mtns because the atmosphere is absolutely bone dry behind the front. You'll actually have drier air than me, although I'm in a desert.
The pattern really only favors 5minute onset sleet due to all the dry air or high elevation MTN snow. Largely cold rain pattern for all.
And not a lot of cold rain either. I wouldn’t be surprised if Charlotte changes from moderate drought to severe drought. GFS favors more rain in the desert of New Mexico than Charlotte NC metro.
NCSNOW
Member
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Birdman you are spot on. This is the genesis of a drought all thanks to La nina. Ill be suprised if we dont avg below normal qpf for the winter months. As we roll into late spring/summer is where the BN qpf for winter will start catching folks attn. How it got started back before 2007 I beleive.
Wx Cycles come and go. We've been blessed on the qpf for the past several years now. Hopefully I'm wrong, but hard to keep ignoring this evoloution thats started over the past several weeks. Fronts are dry, not generating anything when they roll through. Be lucky to squeeze .10 out of this one. Course you go down to GAWX area, they had nice coastal a week or two ago fill up the ole watershed.
Wx Cycles come and go. We've been blessed on the qpf for the past several years now. Hopefully I'm wrong, but hard to keep ignoring this evoloution thats started over the past several weeks. Fronts are dry, not generating anything when they roll through. Be lucky to squeeze .10 out of this one. Course you go down to GAWX area, they had nice coastal a week or two ago fill up the ole watershed.
See what looks like towering cumulus this morning to the south
Trough is too far NE and we are too dry 900-700mb.
It's circling the Wake Co rainforest
That would be too awesome