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Pattern Novemburrr

Why is it when we put a ridge in Alaska we get this instead, at least the GFS/GEFS is progressive with it, which is actually a bias View attachment 94514View attachment 94515View attachment 94516
Yeah not too worried about these little intermittent ridges they’ll actually be quite welcome after the cold troughs we are getting. We certainly can’t expect a trough all the time over us but good news is ensembles in late November restablish a killer pattern with a -AO +PNA and some blocking over top as well .. Cant ask for much better than that at this point in time .. hope it holds
 
Yeah not too worried about these little intermittent ridges they’ll actually be quite welcome after the cold troughs we are getting. We certainly can’t expect a trough all the time over us but good news is ensembles in late November restablish a killer pattern with a -AO +PNA and some blocking over top as well .. Cant ask for much better than that at this point in time .. hope it holds
In the years with a cold November the last 4-5 years, it seems we try to get something the first week of December as the pattern finalizes then we wait till New Years for a good pattern again
 
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