Fired it up. https://southernwx.com/community/threads/invest-99l.973/ I know it's not an invest.
Fired it up. https://southernwx.com/community/threads/invest-99l.973/ I know it's not an invest.
Fired it up. https://southernwx.com/community/threads/invest-99l.973/ I know it's not an invest.
Yeah this isn't screaming OTS to me maybe enough of a weakness developing by D10 but boy this is close to troubleThe bad news (from the perspective of someone who wants nothing to do with it) is that numerous Euro ensemble members support the operational's genesis of that MDR wave. The good news once again is that a fish storm is very heavily favored fwiw. Caution is still advised, regardless, due to it being way out in fantasyland, the climo bro of La Nina, and the models sometimes being too eager to recurve:
View attachment 89038
Euro has this a D10 it probably gets tugged OTS by the trough off the SE Canada coast north of bermuda but we are playing with fire scarecrow along the east coastView attachment 89080
Yeah the 12z euro yesterday was further south. With how much ridging we have seen the past 30 days it's hard to sell me on ots right nowYeah that's pretty far north already. If it was a touch south I'd me more concerned about the trough tugging it north and then leaving it behind to turn back west like Isabel or Florence.
Yeah the 12z euro yesterday was further south. With how much ridging we have seen the past 30 days it's hard to sell me on ots right now
There’s plenty of hope for ots. But with it being La Niña and this still being pretty far out in the models, keep in mind that the chances of ots or dissipation in the open ocean are lower than for other enso.
Wonder how much upwelling from the first effects itThis is absurd another one 10 days or so laterView attachment 89201
True, I think if it comes in 10 days later that should be plenty of time for healing.Wonder how much upwelling from the first effects it
I wonder if it will go west of Ida if that happens. We'll see what happens. GFS can be too excited in the long-range sometimes.Wonder how much upwelling from the first effects it