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Tropical TS Fred
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
Brent
Member
Yeah these bands coming up from the SC coast seem to be expanding as they are moving north and northwest. Wide circulation and it’s pulling a lot of moisture north
HugeSnowStick
Member
I have this radar what is the most accurate tilt to have it on 1,2,3, or 4?
Brent
Member
Ive never really looked into it but 1 is usually the default which is what that is
Z
Zander98al
Guest
It feels like fred is moving at a snail's pace. My goodness. It was like what 100 miles off shore or less when I started work this morning and now it's barely onshore. Bye bye any tornado potential for day 1. Literally will be trash amounts of cape. Sunlight would help the cause but nope. Lackluster other than the 4 divets late this morning that was near the shore.
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Sent from my moto g power using Tapatalk
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Latest NAM run takes the center up through central NC. Interesting
HugeSnowStick
Member
Don't really think that is likely. Who knows though.
Does it?? Looks the same as it’s always been
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Might be just a graphic issue .. would consider it central NC but scrapping the mountains looks more likely
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I'm half a mile east of the new track lol. It's going to come straight though here if it holds.
Port St Joe took it pretty hard too. We go there every year and it’s still in bad shape in some areas.
Atleast where I live, I will be barely be on the left side of the storm ???
NOAA top analog for Frank. 
Oddly same time of year too. It will be a small area of flooding but quiet severe wherever it sets up.
LovingGulfLows
Member
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So the current Fred track will likely be 50-75 miles east of this track.
DadOfJax
Member
Who’s Frank?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Is Frank related to Fred ?
BufordWX
Member
Already coming up on a half inch of rain and looks like more bands will try to rotate in over the next few hours. Will be interesting to see how much rain we manage to get before the core of the storm arrives in the morning and the rain totals really go up.
JHS
Member
Looks very nasty for my area if it is right. A ton of rain in that line and the decent possibility of tornadoes in that.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Two areas of interest in the near future with mini topped supercell convection. 
BufordWX
Member
Wouldn’t be shocked if we see a few tornado warnings soon. Definitely been a uptick in the past hour.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Z
Zander98al
Guest
The meso is clearly wrapping. Needs a tornado warning soon
Z
Zander98al
Guest
I'm surprised at how persistent and we'll defined this mesocyclone is. 
Avalanche
Member
Is the track still N. Georgia through east TN?
iGRXY
Member
Been pouring for most of the day so the small dry spell is gone now. Definitely worried as it looks like several rounds of severe weather will be moving through here from around 1pm-7pm tomorrow.
bigstick10
Member
Tornadocane
Member
I'm worried about Western NC and everyone in the Appalachians between NE Alabama and NW Georgia to West Virginia. Big time rains coming for those areas.
e
Naw NE GA you meant? NW GA will be miss the buck of it I believe.
Confirmed mudslide in Statesville.
NCSNOW
Member
? What happened a fire ant mound collapse
The ground is highly unstable because of the i40/i77 construction project. Recent dynamite usage and light rain is bad.
BufordWX
Member
The main body of Fred is starting to creep closer with the outer edge of it already getting up to Columbus. Probably gonna start working it’s way into south part of Atlanta in about 2-4 hours if I were to guess.
Shaggy
Member
Any confirmed winds sustained over 60mph?
Henry2326
Member
Those Hodographs are impressive, enough thermos to make low topped stuff work, wonder if spc decides 10% tor 
@Myfrotho704_ can you share those tornado forecast maps that were surprisingly spot on for the recent New Jersey tornado and other areas of the country this year? I feel like they won’t do so well with tropical storms (I believe experimental NOAA maps)