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Wintry Winter 2021-2022 predictions

Rain Cold, I was just saying the dudes comments are reflected by these people. I dont personally feel that way. It was a response to JHS's post.
Right, yes sir. I was saying JHS was being silly. Your comments were spot on.
 
My coldest low was -17, and my coldest high was -6, around Valentine’s Day. I hear actual temps in the -30’s for lows are not impossible. To quote ?, “ cold and dry sucks” ??
 
This has been such a strange year for weather with temps 120+ in Canada and temps struggling to reach 90 in Atlanta. Therefore, I'm predicting the madness to continue in the winter. Atlanta will get more snow than Dubuque.
 
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Can we get this to happen?


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85a2dfa9cb115c9ab3b7e8b89caacf90.jpg


Can we get this to happen?


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I would move the SE ridge a bit futher west and put the cold colors a bit futher south in the SW regions, but overall I actually agree with this. This would actually a very depressing look for us in Central SC. Cold air very clsoe to us,but no go due to the SE ridge,so this looks very realistic. This would the FEB pattern 2.0,but way worse since far eastern MS,AL ,SE TN, and even big part of GA would be far more involed this time.If this look actually turns out to be right,I might actually retire from talking about winter weather for a couple of years.
 

Not bad at all. If the cold air with this sort of pattern is anywhere near as cold as the cold air that made it to most of the US back in FEB this year, we might be golden. Too bad this looks very unlikely as of now,with the Pacific still being very questionable at best
 
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Not bad at all. If the cold air with this sort of pattern is anywhere near as cold as the cold air that made to most of the US back in FEB this, we might be golden. Too bad this looks very unlikely as of now,with the Pacific still being very questionable at best
I have some optimism for December and January but this far out that's dangerous. I just feel like we will be fighting the same demons as the last 5 or so winters and they haven't been overly generous minus a few short runs. Really hope the uk and euro are on to something with the weak pv early that would play right into our hands before the SER starts lurking. Right now I'm thinking December +1-3 Jan -1-+1 Feb +5-7 with 1 respectable well below normal run in December or Jan of 7-14 days
 
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This has been such a strange year for weather with temps 120+ in Canada and temps struggling to reach 90 in Atlanta. Therefore, I'm predicting the madness to continue in the winter. Atlanta will get more snow than Dubuque.
This is less likely than me winning the Powerball jackpot
 
I would move the SE ridge a bit futher west and put the cold colors a bit futher south in the SW regions, but overall I actually agree with this. This would actually a very depressing look for us in Central SC. Cold air very clsoe to us,but no go due to the SE ridge,so this looks very realistic. This would the FEB pattern 2.0,but way worse since far eastern MS,AL ,SE TN, and even big part of GA would be far more involed this time.If this look actually turns out to be right,I might actually retire from talking about winter weather for a couple of years.
Keep in mind that while the SER has seemed to screw up our winters a lot lately, last year it was muted for much of the winter by the blocking we saw up north. In fact much of December and January saw an overall H5 pattern that you would like to see for a classic front end loaded LaNina winter. The problem was that there simply not enough cold air available in our source regions of NW Canada and Alaska… by the time the cold was available, the MJO decided to amp up in an unfavorable phase and flexed the SER despite the blocking and dumped all the cold west of the Apps. This year, as I’ve mentioned, the source regions are seeing a much cooler summer compared to the record setting heat they’ve seen the last several years. This should allow for cold air to start building up early and at least give us a chance in December and January.
 
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