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Wintry Winter 2021-2022 predictions

If I was to go with what I’m seeing for DJF, I’d go for slightly above average for most of the SE, especially towards the eastern SE, lots of signals for Atlantic blocking on climate models which tends to mean average
 
I remember predicting near average temps for thr SE last year? Can anyone with access to maps tell me how accurate I was?

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So I’m continuing to watch temperatures across the cold air source areas of Alaska into the northern Yukon. The two cities I’m following closest are Fairbanks and Barrow. There is still no signs of any extended abnormal warmth in that region. In fact after having a couple days last week spike well into the 80s, Fairbanks has actually cooled off to below average temperatures and doesn’t look to go past the mid 60s through the next ten days. Aside from a few days here and there, Barrow has stayed below average the entire summer and is now beginning to see its lows drop back close to freezing nightly and highs basically in the 38-42 range… also they are looking at their first snowfall possibilities since mid June over the next few days. I can’t help but wonder if the much cooler temperatures this summer compared to recent years in this region is having a direct impact on the Arctic sea ice levels being much higher compared to last year. Anyway, we’ll see if the cooler times continues up there. Remember they are quickly beginning to lose daylight now… Fairbanks is now losing 15 minutes a day, while Barrow is losing over 30.
 
tennessee storm said:
Pretty much a lock going be a Nina winter, matter how strong is question…
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It also depends in when the Niña actually starts. It appears that this one looks to get going later in the fall where as last years started during the summer. Without looking up I can tell you some LaNinas that started late in the fall in the last 30 years include ‘93-94 and ‘10-11.
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
Get ready folks. Looks like this upcoming winter will be one for the record books. View attachment 87731
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The only thing I would guarantee this winter is you making a comment about the sun angle sometime in January lol. Any winter predictions other than the ENSO state this early are pretty much pointless.
 
GaStorm said:
The only thing I would guarantee this winter is you making a comment about the sun angle sometime in January lol. Any winter predictions other than the ENSO state this early are pretty much pointless.
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January has like the third weakest sun angle of the year ? It’s weakest November - January if I’m not mistaken . This guy crazy if sun angle is an issue in January lol!
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Gotta admit we’re due for a cold east/warm west type of winter, but this is just weeniecasting as usual from JB
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Core of the cold and snow over the GL region seems good to me. SE on the wrong side of normal, and he even has the MA around normal as well as much of the NE. I'd say it all looks pretty reasonable at this point. I didn't click the link though. So there may be more there that I'm missing.
 
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