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July Fry 2021

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I don't know what it is, maybe Manifest type of bs, but Atlanta's heat is unbearable to me, even if it is relatively cooler than some other localities.
I left the NE burbs this afternoon and came back to Charlotte and one thing I noticed it's a heck of a lot more humid in Georgia than in Charlotte at least today. I could tell a huge difference when I got home.
 
I left the NE burbs this afternoon and came back to Charlotte and one thing I noticed it's a heck of a lot more humid in Georgia than in Charlotte at least today. I could tell a huge difference when I got home.
Weird difference in humidity between here and Charlotte as well the last week. Our dews have ranged from 72-77 the last week while Charlotte has been 64-70 .
 
2.2" yesterday in that thunderstorm, and quite a bit likely today.

Wasn't that hot when I walked today but it felt like a jungle out there this evening (and I'm sure it was much hotter earlier in the day).
 
Jordan Lake/Wilsonville got theirs again today. #tropics here's the proof.
 

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You look at this and you think it's time to grab the jackets in Dallas. Nope. Still going to be HOT with temps in the upper 80s and low 90s with nighttime lows in the 70s.

I mean below normal is relative this time of year but it could easily be 105/85 so yeah around 90/70 is a win any day
 
High temperatures in summer are very strongly inversely correlated to soil moisture and is the primary reason i feel confident ATL won't have any heatwaves this summer. History tells me this.
Just looking at the soil moisture map correlates quite well with how the temps have played out so far.

soil moisture.gif
 
They must of made up for it recently since this is what it looked like last month.

View attachment 86528

Indeed, they made it up with at least two multi-inch events amongst others: the major flooding of July 8th from a cold front, which caused some NYC subway stations to go under several feet of water and Elsa the very next day. What a one two punch!
 
I mean below normal is relative this time of year but it could easily be 105/85 so yeah around 90/70 is a win any day

Hell even here in NC the average high this time of year is 90-91 ( for MBY 90/91 is average high from June 25th to Aug 5th ) so a 92-95 degree day is actually only a few degrees above normal....hell for Dallas the normal temp range on Aug 1 is 99/79, a 90 degree day would be well below normal on Aug 1st.
 
I'm watering my yard today. I have little faith.
Same here. I like your area today though with stuff starting in the mountains and getting a little help from the weak wave passing by.

Friday through Monday should be really good days with Sunday being the best
 
Yeah euro wedges in a little bit of lower dew air for a time as well. Could see any real mcs activity being to our west

Still have plenty of time for things to change things in our favor. A lot of good MCS's have come from the NW and reorganized as it moves into the Foothills/Piedmont. It wouldn't take much for us to score something decent.
 
Mountains will rip it to shreds, the OFB and leftover winds should feel good though....
Thats exactly what happens when they move east of the Triad (Gso, WS, Burlington). You think you have a bad storm coming but nothing as the storm dies and you are left with wind and remnant stratocumulus clouds.
 
Have to imagine that dome of HP will lead to plains heat. The pacific needs a break.
Yeah we might see it at least flattened in the west and a backing down of the 594-600+ ridges for at least a short time. Thing is we probably just cycle back to another western ridge in time. We likely need a recurring typhoon to shake things up and break the current cycle to help the west.
 
Do you think if its more amplified we see upper 90s in that time?
If the gefs were to be correct yes. Right now the means on the gefs D10+ for mby are between 91 and 95 with a few maxes over 100. Given the potential advection of high 850s from the western heat dome we could over perform. The only mitigating factors would be soil moisture and clouds/convection. Since the center of the upper ridge isn't close by I doubt that is an extreme heat look just annoyingly hot
 
Looks like the storms today evaporate right before central NC … oh give me a break .. I need them to develop early enough so that we can still have the sun to help bring them along
 
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