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The June Thread 2021

Jordan Lake area is the big winner so far. No thunder with Round 1 but a bit of wind and some intense rainfall. Round two incoming now with some thunder.
 
The setup across NC with the sea breeze/coastal front interacting with the upper level flow is nice. I wouldn't be surprised if some areas picked up 3-6" today and tomorrow. The models don't do a great job picking up the small scale features, and it's usually the HRRR or other convective-scale models that pick it up within 12 hours of an event.
 
The setup across NC with the sea breeze/coastal front interacting with the upper level flow is nice. I wouldn't be surprised if some areas picked up 3-6" today and tomorrow. The models don't do a great job picking up the small scale features, and it's usually the HRRR or other convective-scale models that pick it up within 12 hours of an event.
Totally agree .. models were quite under done with today’s heavy showers and thunderstorm .. I expect the next couple days to provide more than what models are showing .. getting another very heavy downpour now .. we’re racking up
 
Looks like RDU is already at 1.46 inches of rain for today.. and I have a feeling next hourly update will put us near 2 inches that’s what I would suspect our rain amounts have been today... thank you Mother Nature ??
 
Totally agree .. models were quite under done with today’s heavy showers and thunderstorm .. I expect the next couple days to provide more than what models are showing .. getting another very heavy downpour now .. we’re racking up

Yep. This morning I saw the sea breeze moving inland from the SSE (Heading NW). If you check out the radar, the flow with low-topped thunderstorms off the coast are coming form the SSE while the inland convection is heading to the NE. The areas intersect precisely where the tornado is located. This happens in S. FL just west of the coastal metro areas when there's a SSE flow and upper level winds out of the SW, but the tornadoes are very weak.
 
Wow HRRR has so many rounds of heavy showers and or thunderstorms starting soon really and lasting all day .. this is going to be fun
 
A lot of eastern nc and wake county has to be over the monthly rainfall average now and we aren’t even done! Looks like airport picked up. Lot more rain overnight . Epic!
 
A lot of eastern nc and wake county has to be over the monthly rainfall average now and we aren’t even done! Looks like airport picked up. Lot more rain overnight . Epic!

Bet we got a inch in the last hr.....and thats the 4th or 5th round of thunder and lightning in the last 12 hrs lol.....looks to continue off and on all day.....the last several HRRR runs have 4-9" over east central NC for today lol and that is on top of the general 2-4" that have already fallen.....and while that 9-10" bulleye ( has 10.40" right over MBY lol ) is likely overdone some 6-8" totals seem likely.....

HRRRMA_prec_precacc_018.png
 
Bet we got a inch in the last hr.....and thats the 4th or 5th round of thunder and lightning in the last 12 hrs lol.....looks to continue off and on all day.....the last several HRRR runs have 4-9" over east central NC for today lol and that is on top of the general 2-4" that have already fallen.....and while that 9-10" bulleye ( has 10.40" right over MBY lol ) is likely overdone some 6-8" totals seem likely.....

View attachment 84744
Highest I've found on radar estimates is 6-6.5 inches in eastern wilson area. That area scored big a week ago like that. Jesus! With more today we will be above avg not below for annual rainfall, and people were scared of drought!
 
I take it Shane didn’t get too much , looks like .4 perhaps ! Come on Shane don’t hate !
 
Sorry but a bunch of heavy rain in wilson or at the airport doesn't mean the dry conditions are over. You should go be a TV met in Raleigh though you think just like them
Have you checked radar estimates at all? I’m only quoting the highest totals, eastern NC is absolutely coated with high totals right now . Sorry not sorry ! Don’t be a weenie because you didn’t get the highest totals !
 
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