Jrips2710
Member
I hope this line can really solidify in future runs ... I mean there’s heating of the day out east of it I don’t see why it doesn’t mature more .. even sun looks to get out and about east of it .. don’t really know why is seems to stay multi cellular and semi weak
Hrrr mixes dews down into the upper 50s/near 60. If that's the case you can forget it but the HRRR has a tendency to get over mixyI hope this line can really solidify in future runs ... I mean there’s heating of the day out east of it I don’t see why it doesn’t mature more .. even sun looks to get out and about east of it .. don’t really know why is seems to stay multi cellular and semi weak
Some of the local birmingham news stations are putting us under a moderate risk for tornadoes lol. I'm more worried about the possible derecho later
Lol, I'm just going to go with the idea of qcls tornadoes and a main line. Spc put a 45 risk for wind damage so I'm going to hedge on that. Might be a tornado or two. But after yesterday's performance I wouldn't put the euro a step above the HRRR lolYeah, the tornado risk has dropped a good bit since the Euro completely caved yesterday. Still a risk for tornadoes with last nights Euro run, but much more unidirectional from 850mb to 500mb. Any supercells will probably grow upscale.
The funny part is the Euro is still printing out supercells. It must have decided to try to outdo the supercell machine that is the HRRR.
Why did the SPC remove the slight risk for WNC/upstate the hrrr is consistent at bringing strong winds/hailcores with the strongest multicells
Flooding might be a huge concern this evening as areas that have already received 2-8 inches of rain might see another 3-6 inches. Areas in KY and TN have seen 5-8 inches within last 6 hours, and the atmosphere looks to reload during peak day-time heating before a second round tonight. I think some places in Alabama could see an area of 5-7" of rain given models consistently illustrate training storms 6+ hours.
Still pretty broad though. But if I'm correct last few days it's showed a outflow boundary from a decaying mcs moving through MS into alabama so it may be near that. Currently working so I can't really look at what alls going on lol.Oof. Nasty looking cell south of Jackson, MS. Not much to compete with either.
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I agree... I’ve had a feeling since Sunday that today would be a bigger deal for the upstate and WNC including CLT metro. The sun is out and heating things up quick and the air just has that feel to it. I was suprised things got as active here yesterday after seeing overcast skies all morning and today there a lot fuel to set things off.Yeah, makes zero sense. I didn't expect to wake up to the sun shining. There is just way too much fuel out there this morning for us not to get multiple rounds of storms some of which are going to strong/svr.
Still pretty broad though. But if I'm correct last few days it's showed a outflow boundary from a decaying mcs moving through MS into alabama so it may be near that. Currently working so I can't really look at what alls going on lol.
I agree... I’ve had a feeling since Sunday that today would be a bigger deal for the upstate and WNC including CLT metro. The sun is out and heating things up quick and the air just has that feel to it. I was suprised things got as active here yesterday after seeing overcast skies all morning and today there a lot fuel to set things off.