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Severe weather potential May 2 - 4

Most likely. I'm keeping an eye on dews if we don't mix out the HRRR may be substantially underdone

I'm still at 86 over 70. The 3k was much wetter for us this afternoon versus the hrrr. Seems those models have been at odds more than a few times this severe season already. Usually the Hrrr is closer to reality in the end.
 
Wow, we really do suck in NC for storms this year. Storms already falling apart... This is becoming increasingly frustrating. Can't get snow, decent much-needed rain or a decent storm.
 
I'm still at 86 over 70. The 3k was much wetter for us this afternoon versus the hrrr. Seems those models have been at odds more than a few times this severe season already. Usually the Hrrr is closer to reality in the end.
85/70 here. Good test for summer today with the typically over mixed hrrr vs the too humid 3k
 
Ready for this possible derecho. going to have my head on a swivel for these qcls naders
 
I’d say May’s off to a good start
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Correct and a lot of modeling had a pretty stout line crossing the mountains right around now. We don’t have that on current radar. Classic NC screw job in the making.


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What radar are you looking at? It looks to me like a pretty decent line is coming through the foothills now and coming into the Piedmont and down into the upstate. Let’s see what it does. It’s got plenty of unstable air out ahead of it.
 
85/70 here. Good test for summer today with the typically over mixed hrrr vs the too humid 3k

Really ridiculous if we can't get any storms out of today's weather.
 
What radar are you looking at? It looks to me like a pretty decent line is coming through the foothills now and coming into the Piedmont and down into the upstate. Let’s see what it does. It’s got plenty of unstable air out ahead of it.
Also storm cells developing out in front of main system
 
What radar are you looking at? It looks to me like a pretty decent line is coming through the foothills now and coming into the Piedmont and down into the upstate. Let’s see what it does. It’s got plenty of unstable air out ahead of it.

It does look better than it did a while ago but still not as impressive as I would of thought. Especially, given the CAPE. But yes, you’re correct. Let’s see what this thing does.


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That south alabama and mississippi area. Is very concerning for a derecho. Not looking good for that area. Derecho composite is pretty high as well
 
Massive cluster of multicell thunderstorms are now developing in a big way to our west ... wow definitely not seen from the HRRR
 
After the rain dissipates, the hardest hit areas will get a break until Sunday. Then it looks like rain is on the menu for the rest of the foreseeable future. Flooding will likely be the story of the day and month.
 
Lightening / Thunder and heavy rain back at the house. Not there right now, but I can see it and hear it on the Ring.
 
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