Webberweather53
Meteorologist
But this model you showed has sinking air for the Atlantic.
Sinking air in the Atlantic doesn't equate to lower activity, it's the proximity of the rising/sinking air that really matters. The most active hurricane seasons on record usually have rising air over the Indian Ocean and some sinking in the Atlantic. The decreases in deep-layer easterly wind shear, additional low-level cyclonic shear vorticity, amplified African Easterly Wave (AEW) train that accompany having anomalous convection to your east in the tropics is how you get very active-hyperactive seasons
ERA-5 ASO VP200a for Hyperactive Atlantic Seasons
Above average Atlantic hurricane seasons
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