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Severe 3/24-3/26 possible severe wx

That’s a nasty trend to severe wx for the weekend stuff on the icon, that time of the year where longwave troughs cause problems 1BC9013C-4A43-453D-A782-58F722F14760.gif
 
GFS kinda has one of those boundary setup type looks, not as bad as last run tho 0A0B20AB-C1C7-4FCB-8D7F-74889A0495A5.pngC29B9BAE-78C1-48D1-8F26-5D069257DEDC.png4F272815-C77B-4D3B-93BB-C4021C559F40.png3CB16E4D-59C1-488F-A785-75AD7C59DD12.png6E9B2E49-4B02-47C2-A128-7FEE75B04159.png
 
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Hello all. It looks like a wet 3 days ahead here in southern LA. I did not expect to see so many severe warnings with that convective line approaching from the west.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Seems like with this one, the ceiling for more tornadoes is lower then the last one, but the ceiling for stronger/long tracked Ones is higher
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Agreed anything that gets going ahead of the better forcing could go for a while. Just wondering if the warm sector starts getting multicellular and messy
 
HSVweather said:
3pmView attachment 80089
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This is right on the edge of the 3k’s range. Not to say it should be completely discounted, I’m sure reflectivity could actually look this way, but we know the 3k likes to toss out apocalypse scenarios. It may have the right idea tho, here’s a GFS warm sector sounding for a random MS location in the current outlined enhanced area.
6E2915E9-71DF-4506-B67B-F9ADB597281E.png
 
Just starting looking at the weather thread seriously. So it looks like Thursday has a higher ceiling than last week's event is that right?
 
Zander98al said:
Just starting looking at the weather thread seriously. So it looks like Thursday has a higher ceiling than last week's event is that right?
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Higher ceiling for strong/long track tors, I would assume likely less total. as @Myfrotho704_ has said may see crapvection
 
The kinematics with this setup is much more scarier then last weeks, but the question is storm mode
 
The kinematics are up there with Easter Sunday from last year in the SE. but like I said before, how messy will it get ? Most likely will be a few supercells and otherwise a mess Like usual, and those supercells carry the most tornado potential
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
The kinematics are up there with Easter Sunday from last year in the SE. but like I said before, how messy will it get ? Most likely will be a few supercells and otherwise a mess Like usual, and those supercells carry the most tornado potential
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Seems like with a lack of CAP, that it’s going to get messy quick, but at the same time, it seems like a much more dangerous situation due to the fact that there will be interaction everywhere. Tornadoes could be hidden in rain. (Rain wrapped)
 
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