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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

I think one of the things offsetting dry air advection from the northeast are the extremely wet soils. Once the sun sets and transevaporation slow down we will see if dew points drop a few degrees.
 
Always skeptical of icing events. Not expecting more than a glaze here in S. Durham/Chapel Hill. But, I'm prepared just in case its more.
How far south are you? I’m along Garrett near 15-501 a couple miles north of 40. Going to be close here. The further you get towards Chapel Hill, the less of an issue it should be. And down towards Pittsboro it may be a nonevent altogether. I’d definitely be more concerned if I was in N. Durham. Durham County is so long north to south that the weather in the north part (where a very bad ice storm is almost guaranteed at this point) can be very different than the southern portions of the county.
 
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NWS Blend has fallen way off a cliff with totals:

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