• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

ghost1 said:
NWS forecast for Florence AL is not optimistic for snow/sleet lovers...

Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Wind chill values between 11 and 21. East northeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
Showers, mainly after 7pm. Low around 33. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain showers before 7am, then freezing rain likely, possibly mixed with sleet between 7am and 9am, then rain showers likely after 9am. High near 38. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
A chance of rain showers before 9pm, then a slight chance of freezing rain between 9pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. North northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Click to expand...
they are going to have to update that...it was a horrible forecast...expect something before 10, a winter storm watch probably for you here is your zone forecast even before the update, it's manually done
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow, rain with a slight chance of freezing rain in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Wednesday Night
A chance of sleet. Snow and freezing rain in the evening, then freezing rain after midnight. Snow and sleet accumulation around an inch. Ice accumulation of up to one quarter of an inch. Not as cool. Near steady temperature in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Thursday
Cloudy with a chance of freezing rain. Rain likely with a chance of snow in the morning, then a chance of rain with a slight chance of snow in the afternoon. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers and freezing rain in the evening. Cold with lows around 20. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
 
BIG FROSTY said:
Wonder what’s caused that foothill minimum to start showing up? What has changed for the precip to dry up or skip whatever is happening?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Thats the Fram frzng rain. Its a combo of all models and you getting more sleet on some models more so than others cause your futher NW. Also if one is dryer than the rest , it pulls down qpf totals. Its like an ensemble, except its made up of all the models.
 
Jason Simpson just did a FB live and was very confident in accumulation in Lauderdale, Colbert, Franklin, and Limestone. About a 12 hour period or more from 6pm to 6am all snow in those locations.
 
For those interested in such mundane things (like myeself), the NWS no longer issues a freezing rain advisory as of recently. It was consolidated into the standard WWA. (obviously Ice Storm Warnings are still a thing though--and some of you have been under them very recently)
 
Winter Storm Watch for northwest ala/south tenn Winter Storm Watch for Lauderdale, Colbert, Franklin, Lawrence, and Limestone counties in AL beginning at 22z Wednesday (4PM) and Lincoln, Franklin, and Moore TN counties at 00z Thursday (6pm Wed). The watches will both go through 12z (6am) Thursday.
 
Loganelliott99 said:
And it's still going. Wtf.
Click to expand...

that run has some ice even down well into ne ga near Gainesville and maybe even athens. This cad does appear to be trending a bit colder - if this keeps up tomorrow parts of the upstate and ne ga could be in play. this is the first time in a while that it’s trended better/colder for the cad areas on the southern end of the appalachians. It’s gotten much colder here today for sure - currently at 24.
 
NCSNOW said:
Thats the Fram frzng rain. Its a combo of all models and you getting more sleet on some models more so than others cause your futher NW. Also if one is dryer than the rest , it pulls down qpf totals. Its like an ensemble, except its made up of all the models.
Click to expand...

Gotcha Thank you Sir!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Gonna release a second call here shortly, the trends are obviously for the worse unfortunately, I really wish we were dealing with a northward lifting warm front/QLCS rather then a widespread, potential damaging ice event
Click to expand...
Include the upstate

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
Models have underestimated just how cold the air mass out west is and that is coming to fruition here. Couple that with a snowpack that is deep in the northeast and runs all the way down to the Virginia border and a CAD high that is over 1030 mb and this has over performer written all over it. I’d watch our temps tomorrow. It wouldn’t surprise me if most everybody doesn’t get out of the 40’s. I’ll be updating my call map tomorrow morning and I can almost bet it’s going to be a lot more icy and further south.
 
Bsud said:
Include the upstate

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Chris justice just did a Facebook live. He doesn’t see upstate sc getting much outside the extreme northern part close to nc border. Cold rain for most according to him


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Jessy89 said:
Chris justice just did a Facebook live. He doesn’t see upstate sc getting much outside the extreme northern part close to nc border. Cold rain for most according to him


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Yeah just like the last one he missed.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top