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Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow, Rain...Kitchen Sink (12/15-16)

Looking at the hour by hour temperature change. You can see the colder air filtering in from my NE. Shelby is now at 38 and they were just at 41 like myself about an hour ago. Can see the color change coming into Gaffney now. Should be interesting in the next hour or so if we have a sudden drop. I’ve dropped 7 degrees since 4:30 so let’s see where we end up.
 
Here in my neck of the upstate, I'm sitting at 43/32. Just not falling quick enough. That wedge would have to do some Magic to get us down anywhere near anything Frozen. Not so sure I see it happening.

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iGRXY said:
Yep. Look at that call map with 0.5” in northern Spartanburg. We get it, you complain and hug whatever model shows the worst solution. And we always love to hear the apparent drought that boiling springs SC supposedly has ever summer too.
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Well if you didn't say you were getting. 5 I will apologize for that. But I didn't pick a model that didn't show anything and run with it. Nothing except the CMC even had decent ice here and it gets completely ignored by most and for good reason. But if you don't like what I have to say put me on ignore and I'll make sure to not reply to you either.
 
westmc9th said:
38/31 here. DP increasing. Don’t expect anything.
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You joking right.....your in old fort aren't you. I think our area has a decent shot of some ice for sure. Even if it's just a tree topper. Edit: Sorry just looked at your location did u move?
 
RAH added a little bit of freezing rain back into my grid forecast for overnight.

And they do have this for counties just outside the Advisory counties:

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
352 PM EST Tue Dec 15 2020

NCZ009-010-026-041-073>077-161000-
Vance-Warren-Franklin-Wake-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-
352 PM EST Tue Dec 15 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A brief period of sleet or a wintry mix is possible late tonight into
early Wednesday morning. No accumulation is expected. Otherwise,
hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$
 
Currently in Pittsboro its 38. Interesting to see just how much that HP can bring down dry cold air. Me and my Jeep Wrangler are ready!! Wish I had committed to going to visit family in PA.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
What the ....??? What is the Euro smoking. Paging @Webberweather53.....
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That's actually a deformation band that forms on the backside of the low as it starts to pass NC. Almost 100% sure that won't happen but would be hilarious to see as the low-deep layer cold advection would kill off the CAD (again doubtful but lol)
 
KyloG said:
Geez, 18z euro has this almost over RIC. Wonder if the PHL to NYC goes sleet or frzn as this moves north.

View attachment 57957
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They're 100% going over to mixed precip, the signs have been there for that the past few days, now it's beyond obvious. The amount of warm advection and veering they're gonna see is insane.
 
Webberweather53 said:
That's actually a deformation band that forms on the backside of the low as it starts to pass NC. Almost 100% sure that won't happen but would be hilarious to see as the low-deep layer cold advection would kill off the CAD (again doubtful but lol)
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Why are you sure that a deformation band wont happen ?
 
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