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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
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- whamby
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I’d say Winnipeg is on the edge with this one. I’d even be worried in Edmonton or Calgary. I think Whitehorse might be in the sweet spot at this point.
Its amazing we can't even hold good modeled patterns for more than a day. How are we ever supposed to get a snowstorm? Smh
Exactly. As it stands right now it's a miller b with the parent dying in OH/WV and a secondary taking off along the coastal trough in eastern NC probably some actual onset ice and maybe a decent ice event for the immediate foothills.
You would think in time the wave would start to move a little south/sheared/weaker but then again we had a similar situation to this a few years ago and it didn't happen so.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I really don't see any potential for winter storms east of the mountains or in the deep south anytime soon. I think we are all trying to hunt for things that just aren't there including myself. I hope I'm wrong
BufordWX
Member
Some local meteorologists are already saying as much as 3-6 inches of snow in OKC on Sunday. Should that happen that would be near a top 10 snowfall for them in the past 20 years.
I hope the Mid Atlantic snowstorm is gone on the 18z run..
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Wet snow makes for harder shoveling. I'll take dry snow.
BufordWX
Member
Glenn burns say he can “almost guarantee a good snow” for north Georgia this winter.
It’s all over. Time to pack it up this winter.
It’s all over. Time to pack it up this winter.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Sun angle starts increasing in 11 days. Can't wait for the longer days. Actually the afternoons are already starting to gain daylight while the mornings continue to lose daylight.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
There's a very interesting backstory on that event haha, this storm in May 1939 according to reports from Roxboro, Oxford, & Henderson occurred in the middle of the day from 10am-12pm with heavy rain & thunderstorms transitioning to a thundergraupel, thundersleet, and thundersnow mix that accumulated to 1-2" in total for the VA border counties. Just goes to show the sun angle doesn't mean crap when you're socked in w/ clouds and heavy precipitation is falling!
The April 1983 storm is a freak event (not as extreme as May 1939 obviously), with a very deep upper level trough & accompanying coastal low off the Carolinas providing moderate-heavy precipitation and cold air advection which was just barely enough to flip many to very wet snow. This Apr 1983 event also possessed an unusually intense subtropical jet, as you'd probably suspect given we were still in the middle of the 1982-83 "Super" El Nino.
Yea me either. I really looking forward to humidity, unrelenting heat, the sun chasing me like the one in super mario 3, the a/c running 18 hours a day, every surface on my car being made of lava.
I don't know how anyone could hate summer.
I know some of y’all aren’t to happy with modeling, but I almost guarantee if we keep that -NAO for even 2-3 weeks, somebody is gonna cash in on a big dog.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
They have their charm until about 7/1 and then I lose my patience
Thats been the great thing about working from home, I have my desk right in front of a window so I get to see it all day.
BufordWX
Member
Happy hour GFS just went full tilt for the OKC snowstorm this weekend. If I didn’t have to study for finals this weekend I would already be halfway to Oklahoma. Lol
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Dewpoint Dan
Member
I still wonder how this day would have turned out if soundings stayed true 
I think it'll take longer than that. Into the new year. But I really hope I'm wrong.
NoSnowATL
Member
He is right. January. Book it
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I can't believe Burns posted a pic on fb a couple days ago showing 6-7" of snow in the mountains and 1-3" in the metro.
Isn't he the one that usually downplays systems? Or is he a hype machine like Chris Justus is up here?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
When I was growing up Burns always hyped up systems. Cook was always the more conservative one which is why i didn't like him ?
SnowNiner
Member
I've been doing this silly hobby too long to get down right now. I'm just appreciative that there's actually a -AO/-NAO period again. Just that is pretty cool. Ha, I see what I did there....
Get ready...
Nah never know when you have to get on a video call
LickWx
Member
They need a weenie bias test in order for admittance to met programs lol.
weenie bias test Q1- The models all show a warm winter , however the Cfs run on November 3 showed a cold January, do you forecast a cold , or warm winter ?
That’s a big oof (click and see comment after mine)
Better yet you get an op run show a foot of snow 7 days out with no ensmeble support and no other model support. Do you mention it? Chris Justus does. I call him Chris Bustus!
SnowNiner
Member
See! This is from the other day.. One run of an op model that didn't even include the upstate and he starts. While he didn't officially forecast snow why even mention that off of one run? Over 200 comments I guess is why, or either he really is a true weenie. I advise any new members from the upstate to pay him no attention during winter. Even when snow is certain he grossly over does the totals.
you a cute boy like me. ?️
who wanna follow me on tic tok if weather keep it up maybe do bojangles live
folks keep that weather up Tyson will supply chicken to bonjales done irrigation irradiation irrational. No
Birdman gon bust next week too!!
LickWx
Member
That’s weird , it hurts to poop a bit rn tho . God this sucks on so many levels.
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