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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

With the epac getting storms currently..Atlantic usually follows 1-2 weeks. I expect 2-4 more storms in August.
 
It's really digging in behind the lead feature.....that may influence its longevity and direction.

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Webberweather53 said:
Not really especially when you don’t have a legit tc to work with. Low grade tropical cyclones and tropical waves rarely if ever go easily out to sea before late September unless we’re in an El Niño where the westerlies are stronger and deeper than usual
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True but I think it’s stronger than they say and will get stronger to recurve. Later in the season it does look bad for Gulf of Mexico IMO and western Caribbean.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
True but I think it’s stronger than they say and will get stronger to recurve. Later in the season it does look bad for Gulf of Mexico IMO and western Caribbean.
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There’s a massive TUTT axis in the sw Atlantic due to the eastern Pacific forcing, opening up into a wave axis or substantial weakening is basically a given at this point.
 
Recent GEFS and EPS runs continue to suggest that the Atlantic basin will other than for TD11, which will likely struggle with shear as it moves into the W ATL basin, be pretty quiet through the next 2 weeks while the E PAC is quite busy. As Webb sort of alluded to, there is somewhat of a correlation of a busy E Pac to a relatively quiet Atlantic. Not hard and fast but more of a tendency. Remember that Epac cane that later came close to Hawaii was as I recall a time when it was still relatively busy in the ATL. So far from a hard and fast rule.

So, other than TD11 unexpectedly getting out of hand, enjoy the quiet while we have it as Webb has said.
 
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GaWx said:
Recent GEFS and EPS runs continue to suggest that the Atlantic basin will other than for TD11, which will likely struggle with shear as it moves into the W ATL basin, be pretty quiet through the next 2 weeks while the E PAC is quite busy. As Webb sort of alluded to, there is somewhat of a correlation of a busy E Pac to a relatively quiet Atlantic. Not hard and fast but more of a tendency. Remember that Epac cane that later came close to Hawaii was as I recall a time when it was still relatively busy in the ATL. So far from a hard and fast rule.

So, other than TD11 unexpectedly getting out of hand, enjoy the quiet while we have it as Webb has said.
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yeah I'm definitely taking advantage of the quiet because I know it's not gonna last
 
GaWx said:
Recent GEFS and EPS runs continue to suggest that the Atlantic basin will other than for TD11, which will likely struggle with shear as it moves into the W ATL basin, be pretty quiet through the next 2 weeks while the E PAC is quite busy. As Webb sort of alluded to, there is somewhat of a correlation of a busy E Pac to a relatively quiet Atlantic. Not hard and fast but more of a tendency. Remember that Epac cane that later came close to Hawaii was as I recall a time when it was still relatively busy in the ATL. So far from a hard and fast rule.

So, other than TD11 unexpectedly getting out of hand, enjoy the quiet while we have it as Webb has said.
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Yeah because starting around August 25th or so, yikes...

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Interesting little spin on radar off the NC coast this morning, probably wont amount to anything but there have been a handful of times something popped up out of similar little twist....
 
Downeastnc said:
Interesting little spin on radar off the NC coast this morning, probably wont amount to anything but there have been a handful of times something popped up out of similar little twist....
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I was just going to post something about this....always have to watch when something flares off of the coast. Models are showing weak low pressure developing in the same vicinity. Probably nothing more than this, but interesting.
 
Once shear relaxes it’s gonna explode.

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30% odds over eastern NC moving out to sea. Like I said, for now, fish pattern. Looks to change in few weeks tho
 
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