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May be?

The good news for those that don’t want intense heat is that models have cooled the SE a lot for the 6-10 day period due to interaction of the W Atlantic ST low and an E US mid latitude trough. Whereas before it was looking well above normal, that period has cooled to near normal.
 
I've been noticing some models hinting at some spin in the gulf. 6z gfs this morning looked interesting in the med range
 
GaWx said:
The good news for those that don’t want intense heat is that models have cooled the SE a lot for the 6-10 day period due to interaction of the W Atlantic ST low and an E US mid latitude trough. Whereas before it was looking well above normal, that period has cooled to near normal.
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Thumbs down
 
ForsythSnow said:
I want cooler weather personally. Not freeze level, but 70s for highs. At least you don't have to work outside all day and wear a mask like I do and when it heats up it's going to be miserable. I want it to be as nice as possible for as long as possible.
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Haven't seen 70 IMBY since 5/6 with today not looking good so far, we get enough highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s in the heart of winter I don't need it to roll into May, just like I don't want 90s to run into October
 
SD said:
Haven't seen 70 IMBY since 5/6 with today not looking good so far, we get enough highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s in the heart of winter I don't need it to roll into May, just like I don't want 90s to run into October
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And ill take 70s highs and 50s lows any day I can get them between April and October 15. We have more than enough days with highs in the 90s and lows in the 60s or 70s!
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Iceagewhereartthou said:
And ill take 70s highs and 50s lows any day I can get them between April and October 15. We have more than enough days with highs in the 90s and lows in the 60s or 70s!
?
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Hey I'm not disagreeing with you. Thing is if we do get his cutoff just offshore you guys will be basking in sun with highs in the mid 70s and low dewpoints. From MBY east we will have clouds, some precip, highs stuck around 55-60, in other words it'll suck
 
SD said:
Hey I'm not disagreeing with you. Thing is if we do get his cutoff just offshore you guys will be basking in sun with highs in the mid 70s and low dewpoints. From MBY east we will have clouds, some precip, highs stuck around 55-60, in other words it'll suck
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Im freaking done with this garbage already . TWC next week already showing some well below average March type weather again with a high of 69. Avg highs are at 80 this time of year and reach 84 by end of the month. I shouldnt be struggling to be even comfortably warm in May
 
I'm enjoying these actual spring feeling days, but I do think the heat will come in time for summer. It's hard to believe that the official summer is around the corner
 
Worth noting that the ridge not being as intense here/displaced away from us would likely increase precip chances and less subsidence once that phaser off the east coast moves out, ridge would just be flatter here with w/nw flow around here at H5, which would likely increase thunderstorm chances, especially once any CAA from that phaser is gone, at this point I would take that as well C0345C59-785D-47A5-9A60-7FF56E82A159.png0DA72745-8011-4681-B9E2-7C5443B572F7.png
 
Lickwx said:
Im freaking done with this garbage already . TWC next week already showing some well below average March type weather again with a high of 69. Avg highs are at 80 this time of year and reach 84 by end of the month. I shouldnt be struggling to be even comfortably warm in May
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Yeah we are highly dependent on that low next week. A little west and we are struggling out of the 50s and 60s for 3 days, farther east and we are baking in the upper 80s. Good times.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Worth noting that the ridge not being as intense here/displaced away from us would likely increase precip chances and less subsidence once that phaser off the east coast moves out, ridge would just be flatter here with w/nw flow around here at H5, which would likely increase thunderstorm chances, especially once any CAA from that phaser is gone, at this point I would take that as well
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NAM is trying to sneak some goodies in Saturday afternoon
 
Webberweather53 said:
Would bet on this wave slowing down in future runs. Regardless, definitely liking this look for storms around here
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Might have to look into the record for sub 70 days at RDU. What was the link you sent to me where you had the 80+ october days again?
 
SD said:
Might have to look into the record for sub 70 days at RDU. What was the link you sent to me where you had the 80+ october days again?
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SERCC NWS NOWData (just find your NWS site > Calendar Day Summaries > Variable (in this case high temps) > Summary > Number of years.

https://sercc.com/nowdata.html

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You can also navigate to this page by going to NWS Raleigh main page, click on "Climate & Past Weather" then click on the "NOWData" tab.

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Screen Shot 2020-05-13 at 1.05.49 PM.png
 
SD said:
Yeah we are highly dependent on that low next week. A little west and we are struggling out of the 50s and 60s for 3 days, farther east and we are baking in the upper 80s. Good times.
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Id 110% bet this gets shoved inland and we are struggling out of the 50s with cold rain. A record cold stretch of a May here. Must be nice to live in Atlanta or Charlotte which last few years have always avoided the most below average weather . Think we had a few months last year that were well above average in Charlotte but a bit below average in Raleigh.
 
Lickwx said:
Id 110% bet this gets shoved inland and we are struggling out of the 50s with cold rain. A record cold stretch of a May here. Must be nice to live in Atlanta or Charlotte which last few years have always avoided the most below average weather . Think we had a few months last year that were well above average in Charlotte but a bit below average in Raleigh.
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Also Columbia SC is yet to see first 90 degree day WOW!!
 
So is there a severe weather outbreak Monday in the southeast?


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Gfs still showing some spin in the gulf in the med range. Probably nothing, but just look interesting
 
SD said:
Haven't seen 70 IMBY since 5/6 with today not looking good so far, we get enough highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s in the heart of winter I don't need it to roll into May, just like I don't want 90s to run into October
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I'd take 90s in May all day if it meant highs in the 60s late october, highs in the 50s for November. The last 5 hunting seasons have been way too warm. I cant hardly remember hunting a frosty morning last!
 
SD said:
Haven't seen 70 IMBY since 5/6 with today not looking good so far, we get enough highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s in the heart of winter I don't need it to roll into May, just like I don't want 90s to run into October
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Or 100s lol


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