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Coronavirus (Stay on Topic)

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Lowest deaths on a Tuesday in over a month. After recording under 1,000 deaths on the Sunday and Monday reports, this is certainly good news. We may be rounding a corner, especially for places like New York.

Also, the positive test rate is the second lowest so far (after yesterday’s report, which was somewhat deceptive due to a large dump of negative tests from Pennsylvania).

 
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Thread about the coronavirus.


Came here to post this.

Mid-February as the induction date is worlds apart from what others are thinking/saying about it being here late 2019. I tend to trust this guy...



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Lowest deaths on a Tuesday in over a month. After recording under 1,000 deaths on the Sunday and Monday reports, this is certainly good news. We may be rounding a corner, especially for places like New York.

Also, the positive test rate is the second lowest so far (after yesterday’s report, which was somewhat deceptive due to a large dump of negative tests from Pennsylvania).


I hate to say this and I hope my sentiment is 100% wrong ... but there is always tomorrow's data ... ? ??
 
I hate to say this and I hope my sentiment is 100% wrong ... but there is always tomorrow's data ... ? ??
Indeed, but Tuesdays are usually the worst day as far as reported fatalities are concerned because of the weekend backlog, so there may be hope that we see a lighter week. We’ll see. :)
 
The controversial model, IHME, updated today and has 4,413 total NC deaths by early August and a high of 64 deaths per day June 28.

NC is over a month away from its peak of this is true. This is unbelievable and doesn’t bode well for the economy, or the fall.

e94684f07d3062807b56ad4254927a23.jpg



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The controversial model, IHME, updated today and has 4,413 total NC deaths by early August and a high of 64 deaths per day June 28.

NC is over a month away from its peak of this is true. This is unbelievable and doesn’t bode well for the economy, or the fall.

e94684f07d3062807b56ad4254927a23.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Jon,
Thanks; the modeling is probably close to reality (unlike a GFS Wake snow storm in May), and no matter how one cuts it, none of this bodes well. Stay safe and I hope those antibodies are kicking in full speed for you!
Best,
Phil
 
The controversial model, IHME, updated today and has 4,413 total NC deaths by early August and a high of 64 deaths per day June 28.

NC is over a month away from its peak of this is true. This is unbelievable and doesn’t bode well for the economy, or the fall.

e94684f07d3062807b56ad4254927a23.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Hmm, it was showing in the low 1,000s in the last update. Quite a big change. That model has been upping death counts with each successive update, rightly or wrongly (it was clearly way too low originally, though, back when it was showing 60-80k deaths total).


4,000 deaths certainly wouldn't be shocking, though.
 
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I’m a little curious about these models. Are social distancing efforts part of the predictions? With recent numbers flat and declining in so many areas, where are the higher predictions coming from?
 
The IHME update halved Georgia’s deaths to around 2k and increased NC’s by over 250% to over 4k. Huh??? I don’t get it. Seems off to me. I don’t see how NC finishes off with more deaths than GA.
 
The IHME update halved Georgia’s deaths to around 2k and increased NC’s by over 250% to over 4k. Huh??? I don’t get it. Seems off to me. I don’t see how NC finishes off with more deaths than GA.
These models are simply ridiculous.
 
The IHME update halved Georgia’s deaths to around 2k and increased NC’s by over 250% to over 4k. Huh??? I don’t get it. Seems off to me. I don’t see how NC finishes off with more deaths than GA.
That model is all over the place and had constantly overstated hospitalizations in Georgia.
 
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