This setup looks different, might not be much tornadoes, but this setup already looks good for large hail/damaging wind potential given the unidirectional flow/straight hodographs and larger amounts of instability, if I was a betting man I would say this would likely be some type of linear convection setupSoundings, at least on the GFS don't scream an outbreak which is odd, given the setup.
Kinda think with that look at H5 that soundings would be more scary, that’s a nasty broad negatively tilted trof View attachment 39935View attachment 39933View attachment 39936
Kinda think with that look at H5 that soundings would be more scary, that’s a nasty broad negatively tilted trof View attachment 39935View attachment 39933View attachment 39936
Oh man you're not kidding, this went from nothing to yikes in 2 days of Euro runs
View attachment 39941
Gefs members showing a wide range of options. Some look worse the others. (members 7 and 18 for example)View attachment 39945
Basically about what I thought I'd see. Some members with no precip, others implying another full-scale severe weather outbreak and we have less than 5 days to figure this out.
Awesome
Don’t like what I’m seeing, some members show a wedge front/backdoor cold front ranging around the NC/SC border all the way up to VA, even bigger yay
Don’t like what I’m seeing, some members show a wedge front/backdoor cold front ranging around the NC/SC border all the way up to VA, even bigger yay, we better hope this thing trends more progressive but with our luck in 2020....
Wait. I thought that was a good thing ?
Wait. I thought that was a good thing ?
March 28 and 29, 2010 North Carolina Tornado Outbreak
projects.ncsu.edu
Setup this past February had a wedge front and barely instability, yet dropped a handful of tornadoes localized around CLT
Also can recall the one in my county in 2012 and actually saw some of the damage myself
Setup this past February had a wedge front and barely instability, yet dropped a handful of tornadoes localized around CLT
Also can recall the one in my county in 2012 and actually saw some of the damage myself