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Severe weather 2020

The general longwave pattern for the next 1 and a half weeks looks quite favorable for severe weather, gfs shows another setup after the one on the 23rd/24th, things are getting busy 5954A2A9-DDAD-47FA-900A-F84EF9A373B2.png
And speaking of that setup on the 24th, the most concerning area in my opinion is Tennessee 2B9921CF-DD27-4F45-BE85-8962C7692891.png
 
Another severe threat looks to be materializing for Saturday in parts of Mississippi, Tennessee, and Alabama. SPC already with a 15% Outlook at day 5.
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On Saturday, the models remain in good agreement, moving the upper-level trough into the upper Mississippi Valley and Ozarks. A cold front is forecast to move quickly eastward into the Mississippi Valley as a moist airmass advects northward across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Weak instability appears likely to develop across parts of the moist sector by afternoon. Thunderstorms that form along and ahead of the cold front should move eastward across the Tennessee Valley and northern Gulf Coast States during the afternoon. Deep-layer shear is forecast to be strong enough to support a severe threat. Wind damage, hail and possibly a tornado threat could develop Saturday afternoon.
 
HRRR looks nasty.

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Woke up this morning to tree damage in the backyard and one of our bay windows blown out. Luckily the tree didn’t land on the house but it did take out our privacy fence. Gonna be a long weekend of clean up.
 
Looks like another severe wx event hr 156 GFS from New Orleans to the OBX. Not as bad as current one tho
 
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