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Severe weather 2020

BirdManDoomW

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2 enhanced areas out to our north-west today. This is not a good time to lose power and food at homes or businesses. I encourage everyone in the Carolinas to start getting shelf stable items as the severe transitions to us over the next few weeks.
 

smast16

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2 enhanced areas out to our north-west today. This is not a good time to lose power and food at homes or businesses. I encourage everyone in the Carolinas to start getting shelf stable items as the severe transitions to us over the next few weeks.
Or a Generator.
 

BufordWX

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SPC putting out a 15% risk area for day 4 in North Alabama and Mississippi as well as Western and Central Tennessee. 5A273E00-A9BF-4322-90BA-8F240ADFD268.gif
...Tuesday/Day 4 and Wednesday/Day 5...
On Tuesday, the medium-range models are in good agreement, moving an upper-level trough into the mid Mississippi Valley. Ahead of this feature, model forecasts advect low-level moisture into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Thunderstorms appear most likely to develop beneath the mid-level jet along the instability axis centered in the mid Mississippi Valley. These storms would move eastward across western Kentucky, western Tennessee, northern Mississippi and northern Alabama during the afternoon. Forecast instability combined with strong deep-layer shear should be favorable for a severe threat Tuesday afternoon and evening.
 

Myfrotho704_

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The general longwave pattern for the next 1 and a half weeks looks quite favorable for severe weather, gfs shows another setup after the one on the 23rd/24th, things are getting busy 5954A2A9-DDAD-47FA-900A-F84EF9A373B2.png
And speaking of that setup on the 24th, the most concerning area in my opinion is Tennessee 2B9921CF-DD27-4F45-BE85-8962C7692891.png
 

BufordWX

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Another severe threat looks to be materializing for Saturday in parts of Mississippi, Tennessee, and Alabama. SPC already with a 15% Outlook at day 5.
2C9092A4-10C1-4644-AAB3-385CC719946F.gif
On Saturday, the models remain in good agreement, moving the upper-level trough into the upper Mississippi Valley and Ozarks. A cold front is forecast to move quickly eastward into the Mississippi Valley as a moist airmass advects northward across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Weak instability appears likely to develop across parts of the moist sector by afternoon. Thunderstorms that form along and ahead of the cold front should move eastward across the Tennessee Valley and northern Gulf Coast States during the afternoon. Deep-layer shear is forecast to be strong enough to support a severe threat. Wind damage, hail and possibly a tornado threat could develop Saturday afternoon.
 
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Woke up this morning to tree damage in the backyard and one of our bay windows blown out. Luckily the tree didn’t land on the house but it did take out our privacy fence. Gonna be a long weekend of clean up.
 

BirdManDoomW

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Looks like another severe wx event hr 156 GFS from New Orleans to the OBX. Not as bad as current one tho
 
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