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Miserable March

Ohh, and welcome back to 1 hour later model runs:-( And from above. The first non windy and dry anywhere around 70 degree day I see = my first PTO day of 2020. I'll take non windy dry 60 for that matter. Just need a couple days lead time :)
 
I've got one more chase in me this month. I'm liking the mid month look from the gfs
 
GEFS once again turning the faucet on as we continue through March especially for the western Southeast. 6-7 inch mean is showing up for Arkansas, Tennessee, Northeast Texas, North Mississippi, and North Alabama. When will this end?BA88024F-BB6A-4AA7-8B5C-62CBEF307E66.png
 
Some warm days coming up B57B74FD-5947-404D-8B9B-954EE6AEB3CB.png78AC4918-41A5-46DE-A5AE-EF41B8BF5FBC.png290065A8-58F2-4019-B7B0-092B46794D2A.png looks like CAD will come in after this, but once it breaks the euro has highs back in the 70s, I think it’s safe to say the chance of snow is pretty much over, and winter in general is slipping away E8A6F127-C1FD-43B6-8F0B-2117378317C3.png
 
also looks like on Wednesday there may be some thunderstorms around in the SE, while they’ll likely stay in the general range, it’s worth noting the nice energy at H5 and somewhat decent CAPE/deep layer shear, a MCS/multicellular cluster comes to mind 18D623CA-3374-4DAB-8A22-4AD15F7833F3.png30407E4B-5E9F-4CB2-8EE3-C33808022453.png2C08D2C0-0A9A-4C6E-B903-6F6BCB324FB2.png
 
Looks like we may get a negative EPO F6C27D8B-BC10-41DD-BD06-B9E7F2701D5B.pngdoesn’t mean much now since wavelengths are shortened, and the PNA is beginning to break down, nice pattern for SE ridging/severe weather
 
Lol gotta love this pattern, impressive SE ridge, and a -EPO, but wavelengths are shortened so it don’t matter that much at H5, but at the SFC, with negative EPOs you get high pressure that swings through along the northern US, which helps out CAD setups, so CAD regions are kinda being affected by the EPO in a way, it’s worth noting if we keep this look into april, summer like temps would be possible as things switch over and breakdown 2611B684-6BF2-45BF-B50D-868DAC69F180.png68FD823B-2B98-497E-A5BD-2E1560913098.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Lol gotta love this pattern, impressive SE ridge, and a -EPO, but wavelengths are shortened so it don’t matter that much at H5, but at the SFC, with negative EPOs you get high pressure that swings through along the northern US, which helps out CAD setups, so CAD regions are kinda being affected by the EPO in a way, it’s worth noting if we keep this look into april, summer like temps would be possible as things switch over and breakdown View attachment 36977View attachment 36978
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Bring it!!! I'm ready for severe weather and hurricane season.
 
cd2play said:
I'm ready for the run of the mill clear/partly cloudy nights, sunny mornings and the 30 percent chance of daily afternoon showers/storms.
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With SBcape of 3000 JKg, 1000+JKg of Dcape, 90/70 temp/dp, mid level dry air entrainment, and lee trough forcing for multicellular convection, now that’s a summer day I love here in NC
 
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