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Wintry Winters Last Stand / March 11th-13th Winter Storm

What do the 925's really mean? I thought 850 was what we needed for snow.
If the 850's are above freezing and everything below 925 is below freezing, you will generally get sleet. That's just a simple explanation and there are various moving parts to that so it's not always the case.
 
I thought that model output didn't include fropa anymore?

It's simulated composite radar reflectivity, which doesn't account for evaporating/sublimating precip above the ground. It looks like mostly virga NE of RDU on the HRRR, although there could be a few flakes reaching the ground esp further south towards HWY 64
 
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I wish this heavy snow area would extend down towards Atlanta.
 
Decided to take the kids to Chattanooga and glad I did. We got here around 5pm and it was sleeting. It's now all snow! :D
 
23z HRRR really toning down the wintry precip over extreme upstate SC and Charlotte, improved/virtually the same from Fayetteville and points south & east over NC.
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Lol, I have a grill going outside, about to throw some steaks on. That's how serious I take this simulated failure radar for the CAE area. It's 51 here. 850s far away.
 
Webb - Gotta plan for you and me since this whole thing sucks - Let's both go outside, take a deep drink of fresh air (and pollen here :eek:), and then regroup - enough computer!!! (for a short while anyways) ;) Best! Phil

I just took a relaxing 4.2 mile walk in the pleasantly cool and dry Canadian air, which is the start of a winterlike 7 days. Very refreshing to say the least and looking forward to the coming freeze(s).
 
I just took a relaxing 4.2 mile walk in the pleasantly cool and dry Canadian air, which is the start of a winterlike 7 days. Very refreshing to say the least and looking forward to the coming freeze(s).

Let's hope - it would be a 1st! The chicasaw plums are all leaved now. My wife says it will since all here flowers are now out o_O
 
Well, the HRRR is encouraging. Keeps improving each run. It would be cool just to see some snow falling, even if nothing much accumulates.
 
Webber, can you post those 850 temp maps, with the 0 degree lines? Tia
 
I want to experience a foot of snow. I've never experienced more than 10"
I've experienced 12 inches last year and 10 the year before in bowling green Kentucky. There's not much difference but either way it's a lot of snow. Last season 12 inches fell at my house and most of it within a 5 hour period. Heaviest snow I've ever seen fall.
 
850s literally hooked over charlotte right now. not happening in cae.
 
I've experienced 12 inches last year and 10 the year before in bowling green Kentucky. There's not much difference but either way it's a lot of snow. Last season 12 inches fell at my house and most of it within a 5 hour period. Heaviest snow I've ever seen fall.
I got right at 13 inches on February 28 2009... that big bowling ball ull came out of Missouri... thunder snow with that.. awesome night
 
I'm starting to think the northern suburbs of Atlanta might not see any snow.

They were never supposed to. 850s are 10 million miles to the North. By the time anything gets supportive temp wise, moisture gone.
 
I want to experience a foot of snow. I've never experienced more than 10"
I did once in 1988! It's overrated, had 16" of powder, with temps in the mid teens! It was meh.... :)
 
New HRRR, looks tasty!! Almost deform band like , over my house!
 
Getting lots of mid 30s to my west. Temp down to 42 / 41 and dropping still. If only we got heavier precipitation and the 850s dropped by morning... Oh well. I had snow this year, so it isn't that big of a loss.
 
Getting lots of mid 30s to my west. Temp down to 42 / 41 and dropping still. If only we got heavier precipitation and the 850s dropped by morning... Oh well. I had snow this year, so it isn't that big of a loss.
I'm not sure how you are 42 and i'm 44. I guess the further north you go the warmer it is ?
 
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