• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry February 7-8 Winter storm

tuckermcclendon said:
East Ridge.
Click to expand...
Finally started here in Ooltewah. Went from a few flurries to a good moderate snow in just a few minutes. Everything that is falling is sticking. Very nice to see because we moved to Ooltewah from East Ridge in 2016. In 3 1/2 years we have had a grand total of less than 1/2" of snow. Our yard has never even been white. It's already starting to get a little white so that's a start.

Sent from my moto z4 using Tapatalk
 
Usually just read these forums throughout the year but I can say the HRRR is initializing too warm, too far west with the moisture, and not enough moisture either. I’m also in northern Spartanburg county and sitting at 26/23 right now.
 
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
353 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

GAZ027-036-037-041>044-046>048-052>057-066>068-082100-
Madison-Clarke-Oconee-Haralson-Carroll-Douglas-South Fulton-
Rockdale-Walton-Newton-Heard-Coweta-Fayette-Clayton-Spalding-
Henry-Troup-Meriwether-Pike-
353 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

Rain mixed with snow will be possible during the early morning
hours. Temperatures at that time will range mostly in the upper
20s to lower 30s. It is possible that a brief period of freezing
rain accompanies the precipitation which would create some
traffic concerns. No accumulation is expected as temperatures
should gradually rise into the 40s by early afternoon bringing a
transition to all rain.
 
This is the 11z HRRR compared to actual radar. HRRR is notorious for being 3-6 degrees too warm as well. The NAM looks to have the best feel for it so far.
 

Attachments

  • B89B6FE6-1A1A-4F2B-A972-EFC747A9A025.png
    B89B6FE6-1A1A-4F2B-A972-EFC747A9A025.png
    1.1 MB · Views: 46
  • E307EE4F-DDA0-49EA-9EF7-10F22F146875.jpeg
    E307EE4F-DDA0-49EA-9EF7-10F22F146875.jpeg
    1.1 MB · Views: 47
For central NC folks (including RDU), this could be another repeat of the last event; rain, mix, and maybe all snow where rates are high enough. But again, nothing significant. From RAH:
After a sunny start, mostly mid level clouds will thicken to overcast between 15-18Z, related to the omega noted above, then lower owing initially to precipitation falling out of that cloud layer and subsequently the arrival of the modest moistening via the swly llj between 21Z-03Z. There will likely be only a short, few hour window, where the mid level overcast and ice nucleation- supportive temperatures and RH overlap the moistening sub-cloud layer courtesy of the llj. As such, while there will be cold cloud precipitation production aloft --and snow-- it will sublimate in a deep, dry sub-cloud layer before reaching the ground over cntl NC this afternoon. However, some of that precipitation will likely begin to reach the surface over the srn and wrn Piedmont before sunset due to the top-down and advective moistening noted above; and associated diabatic cooling will favor a mix of rain and snow over the Piedmont for a short time this evening, before the mid level moist axis and cold cloud layer/precipitation production moves offshore. Given the quick-hitting nature of this system and that lift and precipitation production will be centered in the mid levels, liquid equivalent precipitation will be very light, with perhaps two or three hundredths at best. And with surface temperatures likely to diabatically cool generally into the 34-36 degree range over the Piedmont during that time, and with a warm ground from recent warmth, any snow flakes will melt on contact.
 
If this is the middle of this snow we're going to end up with a good amount in Fort Oglethorpe Ga. Tops of the grass is almost gone now. Car snow tracks in the roads and the concrete road no longer visible. Edit: holding at 33 degrees here.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top