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Wintry February 7-8 Winter storm

000
FXUS62 KFFC 072005
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
305 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020



.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

Mostly cloudy skies expected to break up this evening allowing temps
to fall to the low- to mid-30s tonight and tomorrow morning. A h850
shortwave is expected to sweep through the southeast tonight and
tomorrow morning, with relatively smaller PWAT values but enough to
produce a tenth to a half an inch across the northern CWA. With
temps just above the surface below freezing this means winter precip
will be involved, and even though QPF is expected to be low, it will
be enough with an approximate 7.5:1 snow-water ratio for minor snow
accumulations to occur with a rain/snow mix across North Georgia.
Only about a tenth to a half inch of snow accumulations outside the
mountainous regions are expected but with rains and warm ground
temps, if anything falls it probably won`t stick around long. In
mountainous regions up north this could be a different story.
Embedded in colder temps, areas of NW Georgia could see 1-2 inches,
with higher elevations along the spine and mountaintops of the GA
Blue Ridge mountains could see up to 4 inches in some isolated
locations. This has prompted a Winter Weather Advisory for the
majority of Northern GA.
Temps may climb into the upper 30s before
the transition from snow to rain occurs with some slick spots
possible where any accumulations occur. Temps tomorrow night will
also drop back into the low-30s for N GA, which may continue to
cause some slick spots Sunday morning.


Thiem

This could bust pretty bad if the models are right.
 
18z 3km NAM improved for areas west of Atlanta.


18z
4EWUas.jpg


12z(Older run)

KMvm8w.jpg
 
Only about a tenth to a half inch of snow accumulations outside the
mountainous regions are expected but with rains and warm ground
temps, if anything falls it probably won`t stick around long.

Wow, my soil temperature right now is about 45 degrees and I'm supposed to get below freezing after midnight. So that's 8 hours of freezing temperatures before event begins.
 
000
FXUS62 KFFC 072005
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
305 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020



.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

Mostly cloudy skies expected to break up this evening allowing temps
to fall to the low- to mid-30s tonight and tomorrow morning. A h850
shortwave is expected to sweep through the southeast tonight and
tomorrow morning, with relatively smaller PWAT values but enough to
produce a tenth to a half an inch across the northern CWA. With
temps just above the surface below freezing this means winter precip
will be involved, and even though QPF is expected to be low, it will
be enough with an approximate 7.5:1 snow-water ratio for minor snow
accumulations to occur with a rain/snow mix across North Georgia.
Only about a tenth to a half inch of snow accumulations outside the
mountainous regions are expected but with rains and warm ground
temps, if anything falls it probably won`t stick around long. In
mountainous regions up north this could be a different story.
Embedded in colder temps, areas of NW Georgia could see 1-2 inches,
with higher elevations along the spine and mountaintops of the GA
Blue Ridge mountains could see up to 4 inches in some isolated
locations. This has prompted a Winter Weather Advisory for the
majority of Northern GA.
Temps may climb into the upper 30s before
the transition from snow to rain occurs with some slick spots
possible where any accumulations occur. Temps tomorrow night will
also drop back into the low-30s for N GA, which may continue to
cause some slick spots Sunday morning.


Thiem

I wonder when they'll issue the advisory officially.
 
MRX not buying and says "meh".

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
324 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Light Snow Possible Saturday...

A brief period of snow is expected on Saturday morning through
mid-afternoon. Any accumulations are expected to be light,
generally a dusting or less with localized spots up to one-half
inch, and mainly limited to grassy and elevated surfaces. Light
snow may mix with rain during the afternoon hours as surface
temperatures warm. Any light accumulations are expected to melt
during the afternoon hours. No impacts are expected.

Prepare for reduced visibilities in snow showers and isolated
slick spots on elevated surfaces such as bridges.
 
Haters gonna hate.... I mean it's an easy call for them really either way as it will be a weekend so a bust on either side of it isn't going to be too concerning and I bet they are weighing on the well this really just developed this chance anywhere outside the NE Mountains in the past 24 hours outside of that why go big type thought. People will wake up tomorrow and majority won't have urgent plans they see snow coming down they will just call it a day
 
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