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Wintry Winters Last Stand / March 11th-13th Winter Storm

And even this is over done in SC especially:

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The last 4 GFS runs have trended stronger with the s/w behind our Sunday event. It looks like the strengthening of this is causing our wave to be sheared and stretched out
 
Total Precip Map:
gfs_apcpn_eus_12.png
 
Now the best area to go to looks like Chattanooga lol and I'd say that's probably just 2 inches of snow, not 4.
 
Looks to be temp issues so far.
 
850 really wants to get caught up in the mountains through hr 99 could *COULD* be something on the backend for AL though?
 
Onto the Canadian!
 
Holy crap, this is so friggin close to turning into an absolute monster on the GFS in our backward, we're literally a few hours away from seeing the coveted triple phase... Just a little slower w/ the southern stream wave and we'll have a monster sitting near the SE US day 4-5. This has so much potential, it's unreal...
gfs_z500_vort_us_16.png
 
I did think that the round 2 was close to phasing, and if its a real possibility then a phase could change the whole ballgame. We'll see...
 
Good lord this run is going to be massive for the NE

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Webberweather53 said:
Holy crap, this is so friggin close to turning into an absolute monster on the GFS in our backward, we're literally a few hours away from seeing the coveted triple phase... Just a little slower w/ the southern stream wave and we'll have a monster sitting near the SE US day 4-5. This has so much potential, it's unreal...
View attachment 428
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Webb - I gotta sleep - please no more good news tonight! LOL (No really - Thanks!) - Phil
 
At hour 96, UKMET has a 1010mb low off the GA/SC coast.
 
Haha, crazy Canadian. Here we go..
 
The Canadian literally looked like a fart on the surface map for our Sunday wave.
 
Some nice snow on the other side of the NE/MA bomb in Tennessee again. Not much but it's something...
 
Man the gfs and CMC are worlds apart with how they handle the energy next Monday / Tuesday


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Canadian definitely gets some precip going.. warm :(

lets see if we can change over for those in NC
 
After a brief period, the first shortwave just gets buried in the gulf on the CMC, as what has been happening lately on the CMC. This definitely looks like it's going to be much more a round 2 and more likely to be better for the NE/MA than the southeast....unless the triple phaser happens.
 
Webberweather53 said:
This could very easily end up being the strongest late winter-early spring cyclone since the March 1993 superstorm at the rate we're going...
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I know - hence my please let me sleep - I'm too excited about mere possibilities!
Webb - You're great!
 
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