Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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You would think we would see atleast an 1” of snow sometime this winter. That would be successful winter at this point.

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From the many years living here, I can't remember a winter where we were totally shut out. There was one (5 or so years back) where we only got a slushy 1" event; but we got something. We all know there can always be a first. I would say this year has got a shot.

But look on the bright side, all of our heating bills should be lower.
 
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Whatever at this point.


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Yeah the cold will come east, but will it come south?
 
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So I guess we are throwing in the towel for cold returning the last week of January. At least I can continue to play golf with the warmer temps.


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The rain is the main issue. Cart path only sucks since I’m lazy and it never fails I hit it as far away from the cart path as possible on those days. Come summer when it’s dry. I hug the path.


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The rain is the main issue. Cart path only sucks since I’m lazy and it never fails I hit it as far away from the cart path as possible on those days. Come summer when it’s dry. I hug the path.


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I hear you on that.


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So I guess we are throwing in the towel for cold returning the last week of January. At least I can continue to play golf with the warmer temps.


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For Jan 20th eyeballing the EPS members days 15 it looks like maybe 20% are BN and 80% AN. Hopefully in a couple of weeks we can see 50/50 split.
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Hurts so bad to get warm when we can get snow then by late March through May it gets way below normal when it’s just that annoying cold (upper 30s to mid 40s). We can get cold periods in a winter month (not this year) but the rest of the month makes up for it.
 
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Idk man. Its really close to being somewhat legit. The 12z runs so far (nam/icon) were south of their previous runs. It probably doesn't work out but 50-75 more miles south and we've got something. The preceding air mass isn't bad and could lock into a wet snow profile

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The models are lying to you. They’re showing you what should happen, based on programmed bias from humans if we stayed in the current MJO phase 5 for an extended time! Our patterns are just too progressive and transient for that! If the models were purely based off the computation of fluid dynamics, thermal dynamics, and chaos theory then I’d be more inclined to believe it. Once the models resolve the MJO equation then we might get a look at what was going to happen all along.
 
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