• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Hotober

5.56 in the rain gauge for this event and still raining......was there any models showing this much rain for this area?
Yes Euro, Icon, everything except the GFS234DD39C-2A2F-4FCB-9FA6-71FD820C798F.pngFF28218C-7F77-4FA6-99B9-9A7462B6A3AD.png
 
The differences between the 6Z/12Z GFS and the 12Z/0Z Euro for 2 PM temps on 10/30 at ATL are absolutely astounding: 25 degrees with the Euro near 75 and the GFS near 50!!! It's not like this is 10+ days out as this is a mere 7 days!
Anyone want to bet on which comes closer? If I remember and can find this post, I'll bump it in a week.

I'll bet on the Euro coming closer and it being 65-70 at 2 PM on 10/30. Anyone else? Watch the broken clock Goofy get lucky this time lmao.

Bump. OK, the results are in. ATL was 70 as of 2 PM on 10/30. So, the Euro is the easy winner since those 2 had 75 while the 2 GFS runs had 50.

"200 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR S TO VISIBILITY
.

* = USE WITH CAUTION. THE STATIONS MARKED WITH AN ASTERISK MAY NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION, FOG, OR THUNDER AND ARE NOT
QUALITY CONTROLLED BY NWS.

THE REMARK "TC" DENOTES TEMPERATURE READING IN DEGREES CELSIUS.

GAZ001>058-301900-
NORTH GEORGIA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

ATLANTA LGT RAIN 70"
 
Getting a pretty strong t'storm in Newnan. The line blew up as it moved in, after temps surged in the upper 70s.
 
Bump. OK, the results are in. ATL was 70 as of 2 PM on 10/30. So, the Euro is the easy winner since those 2 had 75 while the 2 GFS runs had 50.

"200 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR S TO VISIBILITY
.

* = USE WITH CAUTION. THE STATIONS MARKED WITH AN ASTERISK MAY NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION, FOG, OR THUNDER AND ARE NOT
QUALITY CONTROLLED BY NWS.

THE REMARK "TC" DENOTES TEMPERATURE READING IN DEGREES CELSIUS.

GAZ001>058-301900-
NORTH GEORGIA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

ATLANTA LGT RAIN 70"
Wasn't this about timing though? I mean if that front had of been a little faster the GFS would've been correct right, it was off what a day? Not knocking your research but it reads as if the GFS was off with it's temps (the cold bias) when in fact it was just off less than 24 hours on a frontal passage

edit: I see you said the 30th not 31st (for some reason thought you meant today even though it's not 2 pm today yet Lol). So it was still more about timing though and the GFS was off say 36 hours or so
 
Last edited:
Wasn't this about timing though? I mean if that front had of been a little faster the GFS would've been correct right, it was off what a day? Not knocking your research but it reads as if the GFS was off with it's temps (the cold bias) when in fact it was just off less than 24 hours on a frontal passage

You're right that it was about the timing although it was off more like 36 hours as it had the front come through ATL Tue night, which is about 36 hours faster than reality (it is coming through about now).

*Edit: I see you realized it was more like 36 hours while I was typing this.
 
Back
Top