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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

24 hour average soil temp in Greensboro is 55 degrees...the necessary threshold for crabgrass germination. That number will only climb with highs in the 70s and lows in the 60s the next two days.
 
NC State's basketball team is versatile. They get blown out only scoring 24, and get blown out almost scoring 100.

But their athletes have been required to go to REAL classes that required REAL work and REAL attendance; unlike the University of No Class down the road.
 
FV3 clown maps are ROLLING today
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But their athletes have been required to go to REAL classes that required REAL work and REAL attendance; unlike the University of No Class down the road.

They all take easy classes to stay eligible. Classes that are offered to every student. There is no way most of them could stay in school if they didn't with the demands on their time and how often they are away from school. It is the same at every school with any type of athletic program. Don't kid yourself. A lot of these kids would not even be able to get into schools like UNC, State, and Duke. So you really think they could do the same work as every other student? My nephew is at ECU, and has a class where all he does is watch movies and then writes a paper on the movie, and he's not even an athlete.
 
When can we put to bed how great the FV is. It’s a hump fest in the storm thread of a really bad model after day 5. I guess in 5-6 days when NC doesn’t get a big winter storm we can move past this.

Every model had the Dec storm from day 6-7 not just the FV.
 
They all take easy classes to stay eligible. Classes that are offered to every student. There is no way most of them could stay in school if they didn't with the demands on their time and how often they are away from school. It is the same at every school with any type of athletic program. Don't kid yourself. A lot of these kids would not even be able to get into schools like UNC, State, and Duke. So you really think they could do the same work as every other student? My nephew is at ECU, and has a class where all he does is watch movies and then writes a paper on the movie, and he's not even an athlete.
NCSU sucks in general, but they do have a world famous horticultural program! JC Raulston arboretum, is a bucketlist item for me
 
I moved all the political talk to the Political Thread found here...

https://southernwx.com/community/threads/political-thread.22/page-3

Have at it in there... it's a good opportunity to remind everyone of that thread and encourage use of it. Now I left all the food stuff and deleted the food/diet thread basically because the way some of you eat y'all goin need a wambulance.
 
When can we put to bed how great the FV is. It’s a hump fest in the storm thread of a really bad model after day 5. I guess in 5-6 days when NC doesn’t get a big winter storm we can move past this.

Every model had the Dec storm from day 6-7 not just the FV.

FV3 had it first, though, and was more accurate in what actually happened. If you don't think it's going to happen, then no need in continuing to follow it.
 
When can we put to bed how great the FV is. It’s a hump fest in the storm thread of a really bad model after day 1 I guess in 0-1 days when NC doesn’t get a big winter storm we can move past this.

Every model had the Dec storm from day 6-7 not just the FV.
FYP! Ask AL about the GFSv3 1 day out analfrontal snow?
 
FV3 had it first, though, and was more accurate in what actually happened. If you don't think it's going to happen, then no need in continuing to follow it.
I'll agree the FV3 locked on early and led the way in Dec but it's also busted horribly many time since then, could it do it again sure, will it? Time will tell.

Now to your last point I don't entirely agree... I personally don't think it's going to happen either but I'll keep following it until the FV3 loses it completely or if other models come on board and it actually verifies then I was wrong to think it wasn't going to happen. But thinking something will or will not happen doesn't seem like a reason to discuss weather or not.
 
I'll agree the FV3 locked on early and led the way in Dec but it's also busted horribly many time since then, could it do it again sure, will it? Time will tell.

Now to your last point I don't entirely agree... I personally don't think it's going to happen either but I'll keep following it until the FV3 loses it completely or if other models come on board and it actually verifies then I was wrong to think it wasn't going to happen. But thinking something will or will not happen doesn't seem like a reason to discuss weather or not.

I'm not sure what people are talking about with the FV3 busting horribly. Every storm I've tracked on it inside 6 days it's been quite reliable and very good. If people are referring to the anafrontal snow bust, well all models busted horribly on that one. I can't think of any threats that the FV3 has consistently shown for my area inside 6 days, the only threat it's shown here was the early December storm. Now outside 6-7 days it can have some wild solutions but inside 6 days I think it's a very good model. I just showed a good example in the February thread of how it matches up best with current observations vs other models from 6 days ago.
 
I'm not sure what people are talking about with the FV3 busting horribly. Every storm I've tracked on it inside 6 days it's been quite reliable and very good. If people are referring to the anafrontal snow bust, well all models busted horribly on that one. I can't think of any threats that the FV3 has consistently shown for my area inside 6 days, the only threat it's shown here was the early December storm. Now outside 6-7 days it can have some wild solutions but inside 6 days I think it's a very good model. I just showed a good example in the February thread of how it matches up best with current observations vs other models from 6 days ago.

Maybe it's just for NC, but it has been very good for here inside 5 to 6 days like you said. All of the models have shown storms past 7 days this winter only for them to go poof when we get inside 7 days.
 
I'm not sure what people are talking about with the FV3 busting horribly. Every storm I've tracked on it inside 6 days it's been quite reliable and very good. If people are referring to the anafrontal snow bust, well all models busted horribly on that one. I can't think of any threats that the FV3 has consistently shown for my area inside 6 days, the only threat it's shown here was the early December storm. Now outside 6-7 days it can have some wild solutions but inside 6 days I think it's a very good model. I just showed a good example in the February thread of how it matches up best with current observations vs other models from 6 days ago.
I'm speaking specifically post d5 and I don't recall specifics but the fv3 has shown wintry precip over me numerous times this year and if I'm not mistaken just the other day it was showing a significant storm this weekend, which it has lost. Again I'll concede inside day 5 it might be solid, also let's face it sample size too small to get a good idea of how it will eventually perform
 
I'm speaking specifically post d5 and I don't recall specifics but the fv3 has shown wintry precip over me numerous times this year and if I'm not mistaken just the other day it was showing a significant storm this weekend, which it has lost. Again I'll concede inside day 5 it might be solid, also let's face it sample size too small to get a good idea of how it will eventually perform

Well this will be good test. Let the humping commence.
 
I'm speaking specifically post d5 and I don't recall specifics but the fv3 has shown wintry precip over me numerous times this year and if I'm not mistaken just the other day it was showing a significant storm this weekend, which it has lost. Again I'll concede inside day 5 it might be solid, also let's face it sample size too small to get a good idea of how it will eventually perform

It had one run 174 hours out (7+ days away) showing wintry weather for NC this weekend and every other run after that was dry/no winter weather. Not once inside 6 days has it shown anything wintry for this weekend. I think this upcoming 11-12th storm is different. It hasn't shown it a few random runs, it has consistently been depicting it for DAYS now and we are now getting inside 6 days where the FV3 does very well from the limited sample size we have.

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Next run took that away and it hasn't shown anything at all inside 6 days.
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And here is it's current 84 hour forecast for this time period.
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